Big3 Picks & Predictions: Sunday (7/12)
The Big3 makes its way to Los Angeles for Week 4 of the regular season. I have my eye on three matchups, including two games between above-.500 teams. Below, I explain why the DMV Trilogy can compete with the Dallas Power, why the Chicago Triplets are being undervalued against the Boston Ball Hogs and why at least one team will fail to reach 40 when the Miami 305 face the Houston Rig Hands. Here are the best Big3 picks for Sunday, July 12th.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Sunday’s Best Big3 Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
DMV Trilogy vs. Dallas Power
The Power sit atop the Big3 standings and are just one of two teams with a perfect 3-0 record. However, the Power's Week 3 performance raises serious questions. After building a 25-9 halftime lead, the Power were outscored 39-26 in the second half, ultimately winning by a final score of just 51-48.
In that contest, the Power allowed Nasir Core of the Amps to score 31 points. He had just 24 points in his first two games combined. With this defensive performance fresh in my mind, I'm curious how the Power will deal with the trio of Earl Clark, James Johnson and Jordan McRae. All three have scored 30+ points. The only other team with such a trio is the Triplets.
The Trilogy already faced the Triplets, the other 3-0 team, this season, and they lost by just two points. The key to victory for the Trilogy will be slowing down Elijah Stewart, the league's leader in made three-pointers. Yet, while Stewart has eight threes, the Trilogy has a solid three-point defense, allowing just nine through three weeks.
Pick: DMV Trilogy +2.5 (-110)
Miami 305 vs. Houston Rig Hands
After a solid Week 1, the Rig Hands haven't been competitive. They've failed to reach 40 points in back-to-back games, and they're currently the third-lowest scoring team in the league. But if there's one team they may be able to compete with, it's the 305.
The 305 have a win, but they've scored only 119 points this season. They scored just 38 points against the Triplets last week, and each of their losses has been by at least nine points.
Because of how much the 305 have struggled, I can't confidently back them to cover the 5.5-point spread. But I can't trust the Rig Hands either, as they could come out and lay their third egg in a row.
All I know is that these teams have played six total games, and on four of those occasions, one of them failed to reach 40 points. Neither defense has been very good, but I'll back one of them to play well here. I just don't know which defense it will be.
Pick: Under 93.5 Points (-115)
Chicago Triplets vs. Boston Ball Hogs
If you look at the standings, the Triplets and the Ball Hogs are right next to each other. However, this spread doesn't take into account just how talented and balanced the Triplets are.
All four players on the Triplets have scored in double figures this season, with four of the five scoring at least 25. Amir Johnson led the way with 26 points in Week 1. He, Brandon Moss and Wesley Johnson each scored 14 in Week 2. Then, the Triplets showed how dangerous they can really be when Montrezl Harrell made his season debut in Week 3, dropping 34 points.
The Ball Hogs are 2-1, but the combined record of the teams they defeated is 1-5. In their only true test against the Power, they lost by eight. With Harrell at full strength, the Triplets will show just how much of a separation there is between the second- and third-place teams in the league.
Pick: Triplets -2.5 (-115)
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.