Bundesliga Soccer Sports Betting Picks of the Week (2020): 6/16 – 6/17
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Our strong start has taken a turn for the worse â we were cleaned out last week! A couple of goals were the difference from a 2-1 week to a 0-3 week, but thatâs how the cookie crumbles. Weâre now at 10-8 on the year with our Bundesliga picks.
There is a quick turnaround this week, as the teams have Monday off but get back in action on Tuesday. Hereâs a look at our picks for Matchday 32.
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Werder Bremen vs. Bayern Munich
Odds: Bremen +1200, Draw +650, Munich -600
Bayern Munich let us down last week, as they won by just one goal instead of two. Part of it was some player issues, as Robert Lewandowski, the teamâs leading scorer, and Thomas Muller, the teamâs leader in assists, both missed the game. They should be back in action on Tuesday.
Iâm not expecting Bayern to stumble in this spot, as theyâre just one win away from clinching the Bundesliga. In this matchup, theyâre going up against Werder Bremen, the 17th-ranked squad in the Bundesliga standings. They are fighting just to avoid relegation.
Iâm looking for the under, as Werder has played well defensively of late. They gave up one goal to Paderborn last week, but that was the first time in six matches that they conceded. Bayern will score here, but Iâm anticipating that Werderâs defense will do enough to keep this somewhat low-scoring.
Pick: Under 3.5 Goals -108
Leverkusen vs. FC Koln
Odds: Leverkusen -230, Draw +390, FC Koln +550
I got burned by taking Leverkusen -1 last week, but I hope that they can come through for us here. This game is important for them, as theyâre looking to maintain their top-4 finish. Ending up in one of those slots means that theyâll head to the Champions League next season. Theyâre just one point up on Monchengladbach, so every point will have some extra value going forward.
Leverkusen has what should be a layup against FC Koln in this spot. Koln has yet to win since the return to action, and their games have featured plenty of goals. I wouldnât blame you for betting the over here, as their last six games have averaged 3.8 goals per outing.
Instead, Iâll bet on Leverkusen -1 here, as Cologne has nothing to play for. Also, theyâre just 4-2-9 in road games this season, while Leverkusen is a decent 7-4-4 at home.
Pick: Leverkusen -1 +115
Monchengladbach vs. Wolfsburg
Odds: Monchengladbach +120, Draw +250, Wolfsburg +210
This is a matchup of the No. 5 and No. 6 teams in the Bundesliga standings. On paper, Monchengladbach should have the edge. The gap is bigger than you might think, however, as Monchengladbach has 10 more points in the standings than Wolfsburg. Theyâre also 10-2-3 at home this season.
However, I donât think the gap between these two is so wide. To start, Monchengladbach has just one win in their last five, which includes a loss to SC Freiburg and a draw with Werder Bremen. Wolfsburg has been decent since the restart, as theyâve won all three of their away games while drawing once and losing once at home. Theyâve been strong on the road all season long, and they have an 8-2-3 record in away games.
We can get Wolfsburg at +1 (-160), or you can take them in Double Chance (Wolfsburg & Draw at -165), but I like them at +1 here. This should be a competitive match.
Pick: Wolfsburg +1 -160
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Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.