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Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Odds and Game Pick (2020)

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The Chicago Bears were 5-1 through six games. They were never the favorite in the NFC North – the Green Bay Packers always were – but they did seem to be in a very good position for a wild card playoff berth. Four games later, the Bears are 5-5 and reeling, and they don’t know if Nick Foles will be healthy enough to play this game after taking a vicious hit at the end of a Monday Night Football loss to the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears had Week 11 off, but Foles still might not be ready for Week 12. Mitchell Trubisky could play this game, which the Bears dearly need for their NFC playoff chances.

The Green Bay Packers blew a 14-point lead last weekend against the Indianapolis Colts, making this an even more important game not only for their division title hopes but crucially for seeding in the NFC. The Packers fell behind the New Orleans Saints in the race for a No. 1 seed in the NFC postseason. They can’t afford another stumble. Sunday Night Football from Wisconsin is coming up:

Compare odds from all major sportsbooks for the Bears vs. Packers >>

Details

  • Opening Line: Packers -7.5
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
  • Start Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • Last Meeting: Bears 13 vs. Packers 21 (12/15/19)
+8.5
-106
o44
-110
+360
VIEW PICKS
-8.5
-114
u44
-110
-400

View consensus picks and notes from top betting experts for the Bears vs. Packers >>

Overview

The Bears, even when they were 5-1, were not getting much from their offense. The Bears made two comebacks from deficits of 16 points or more in the first three weeks of the season. They erased a 23-6 deficit against the Lions in Week 1 and a 26-10 deficit versus the Falcons in Week 3. Without those two fourth-quarter comebacks, they would have been 3-3 through six weeks with an offense that was often held under 20 points per game. However, the chickens have come home to roost for this offense, which has never been able to sustain a rhythm from game to game.

In their last four losses, the Bears have scored at least 20 points just once, averaging just under 16 points per game. Chicago simply doesn’t have a lot of weapons other than Allen Robinson and David Montgomery. The offensive line isn’t powerful enough to protect Foles or create a strong rushing attack. Nothing works, and head coach Matt Nagy has repeatedly failed to find a line of attack which maximizes the offense.

The Packers led the Colts 28-14 but then gave up 17 straight points and lost in overtime after fumbling to Indianapolis on their first OT possession. The Packers made tons of huge mistakes and failed in short-yardage situations. After a bad performance, the Packers know they have a lot of flaws to fix. Even in a recent win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Packers were very inconsistent and played far from their best football.

Trends 

  • The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after gaining under 150 passing yards in their previous game.
  • The Bears are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games.
  • The Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after losing straight-up. 

Bottom Line

The Packers, after a loss, figure to be very angry and very focused on getting things right. The Bears’ defense has to come up with multiple turnovers for Chicago to have any chance of winning. Yet, the limitations of the Bears’ offense are hard to ignore when Aaron Rodgers is on the other side, waiting to pounce on any opportunity to humiliate a division rival. The Packers should win comfortably.

Pick: Packers -8.5

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 Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.