Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds & Game Pick (2020)
The Cleveland Browns have a better record than the Dallas Cowboys entering Week 4, something few people were prepared to expect. The Browns are 2-1 and the Cowboys are 1-2 after three volatile games to start the season. The Browns haven’t been dominant and the Cowboys have not been impotent, but Cleveland has done a better job of closing out close games while the Cowboys’ secondary is an absolute disaster. Let’s see if the Cowboys can bounce back or if the Browns can gain confidence and pull off what would be a road upset in Texas.
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Details
All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Opening Line: Dallas -4.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- Current Line: Dallas -4.5
- Over/Under: 55.5
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Last Meeting: Cowboys 35 vs. Browns 10 (11/6/16)
View consensus picks from experts for Cleveland at Dallas >>
Overview
The Browns were crushed by the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1. Then they gave up 30 points to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 2. They needed a better performance from their defense, and they got exactly that in Week 3 against the Washington Football Team. Cleveland picked off Washington quarterback Dwayne Haskins three times and hounded the Washington offense relentlessly. The Browns are tied for sixth in the NFL in sacks made by their defense. They are also in the top 10 in the league in opposing quarterbacks’ completion percentage allowed. These stats might be largely the product of what they did against Haskins – who is not an especially strong quarterback – but it remains that Cleveland’s defense has steadily gotten better over three weeks, allowing progressively fewer points in each game. If the Browns can continue along this trajectory, they will have a chance to be a decent team this season – not great, but better than the mediocre team they have been in recent seasons.
The Cowboys’ offense is fine. Dallas has scored 40 and 31 points in each of the past two weeks. That is supposed to be enough to win. Yet, the Cowboys are 1-1 in those games and easily could have been 0-2 in those games if the Atlanta Falcons had recovered an onside kick in Week 2. Dallas’ defense allowed 39 points to the Falcons in Week 2 and then 38 to the Seattle Seahawks last week. The Dallas secondary is a dumpster fire, getting torched with great regularity on downfield routes. Seattle receivers D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett were regularly able to get open on downfield routes. This was an embarrassment for a Dallas defense that got pass rusher Everson Griffen in the offseason and had seemed to be much improved from 2019. The Cowboys held the Los Angeles Rams to 20 points in Week 1, but the last two weeks have been disasters. Dallas is lucky to not be 0-3. The defense has to wake up if this season is to be saved.
Trends
- Cleveland is 17-39-1 ATS in its last 57 games as an underdog.
- Dallas is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games after rushing for under 90 yards in its previous game.
- Dallas is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in its previous game.
Bottom Line
The Cowboys’ bad pass defense meets an opponent which has not thrown the ball especially well. Cleveland beat Washington with defense and with the running game of Nick Chubb. Baker Mayfield has been an inconsistent quarterback. This is not the matchup that can hurt Dallas. The Cowboys should be able to take control.
Prediction: Dallas -4.5 & Under 55.5
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Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.