College Basketball Picks & Predictions: Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State (Tuesday)
Value is the name of the game when it comes to sports betting. Value can come from a variety of places, whether it be sportsbooks being slow to react to trends, or overreacting to small samples, among myriad other factors down to what sportsbook you choose to place your bets with.
The other thing about value is that baked into value is inherent risk. Some of the picks I present are riskier than others but every pick has a return that offers value in the discrepancy between the implied probability and the real-time odds. Finding the edge is what it’s all about. Every day that you don’t find the edge, Vegas gets the leg up. This approach has led to major gains this betting season including returns of +550 on Florida men and +332 on UConn Women in the past two weeks.
I dive into the minutia of daily college basketball slates to find you the best ROI so you don’t have to. As March approaches, grabbing as much value as possible will help build our bankrolls heading into the NCAA Men’s and Women’s Basketball Tournaments! Let’s roll! Here are our top picks and predictions for Tuesday’s college basketball game Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State.
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Tuesday’s Best College Basketball Value Picks: Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State
Season: 1-1 | Last: 1-1 | Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State
As I’ve said before, a place I love to find value is ranked teams on the road. Case in point, #7 Texas A&M on the road in Starkville is returning +124 right now. That’s good value on a single-digit ranked team, who has played well on the road this season.
Texas A&M is 20-5 and has rattled off five straight wins dating back to January 28. Mississippi State is 2-3 in that same span and is 4-6 in their last 10 games dating back to January 11. The Bulldogs are 1-4 in their last five home games and have dropped three straight at Humphrey Coliseum. The Aggies have won three of their last four on the road.
Additionally, Mississippi State has dropped six straight home games to opponents ranked in the AP Top 10. The Aggies are just playing better basketball right now and they
Pick: Texas A&M Moneyline (+124)
Luke Monaldo is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @MoKnowsSports and Discord @alydar1227 AKA The GIFTing Crooner. For more from Luke, check out his archive.