College Basketball Predictions: Arkansas vs. Missouri (Saturday)

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Let’s dive into one of Matt’s top picks and predictions for today’s college basketball game Arkansas vs. Missouri.

College Basketball Predictions: Arkansas vs. Missouri

Matt Perrault’s Betting Overview, Analysis, and Pick for Arkansas vs. Missouri

?"? Betting Overview

• Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers
• Time: Saturday Night
• Line: Arkansas +2
• Bet Type: Spread

?"? Game Analysis

1. Arkansas in a Must-Win Situation

   • The Razorbacks need this game to stay in contention for an NCAA tournament bid.
   • Their remaining schedule includes Missouri, Texas, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and Mississippi State.
   • Missouri and Texas are the only Quad 1 wins left for Arkansas before the SEC tournament.

2. Arkansas' Recent Struggles

   • Arkansas is coming off back-to-back losses:
     • Lost to Texas A&M by 8
     • Lost to Auburn by 7 despite leading with 3 minutes to play.
   • If Arkansas loses this game, their NCAA tournament hopes are essentially done.

3. Missouri's Strong Recent Form

   • Missouri is 11-2 overall and has been playing great basketball.
   • Recent dominant wins include:
     • Oklahoma (+24)
     • Georgia (+13)
     • Alabama (+12)
   • However, their two losses have been against Texas A&M and Tennessee.

4. Revenge Spot for Arkansas

   • Missouri destroyed Arkansas at home earlier this season, winning by 18 points as a -5.5 favorite.
   • Now Arkansas gets them back at home, in what is a true desperation game for the Razorbacks.

5. Why Back Arkansas?

   • Backs against the wall: Razorbacks need this win to keep their season alive.
   • Home Court Advantage: Night game in Fayetteville should provide extra motivation.
   • Bounce-back factor: Arkansas was competitive against Auburn but couldn't finish the job.
   • Line Value: KenPom projects a 2-point loss for Arkansas, making this a tight contest.

?"? Matt's Pick

✅ Arkansas +2 (-110) - 1.1 Units

?"? Reasoning:

• This is a buy-low spot on Arkansas after recent losses.
• Missouri is playing well, but this is a revenge game for Arkansas.
• The Razorbacks must win to stay in NCAA tournament contention.
• Taking the +2 points for insurance in case of a last-second loss.

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