College Football Betting: Week 10 Under-The-Radar Plays
We’re in a really weird week in college football as COVID-19 has really impacted the schedule. A number of SEC games are already off the board and Ohio State-Maryland ain’t happening either. For now, we’ll have to hope that our three games go off as planned. Here’s a look at our under-the-radar selections for Week 11.
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Arkansas Razorbacks at Florida Gators
Odds: Gators -17.5
The Florida Gators are coming off a huge win over the Georgia Bulldogs and some people think they could be ripe for a letdown. I’m one of those people. They’ll host Arkansas this week, who is quarterbacked by their former starting signal-caller, Feleipe Franks. Arkansas will be without head coach Sam Pittman, who is dealing with COVID-19, but this is still a solid team without him. They were -20 in turnover margin over the last four seasons; they’re +8 this year.
Florida should win this game but Arkansas is solid enough to keep this from getting out of hand. For all of the love that Kyle Trask is getting (and deservedly so), Franks has quietly played very well too. Look for a closer-than-expected result here as Florida wins but Arkansas covers.
Pick: Arkansas +17.5
Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan State Spartans
Odds: Hoosiers -7
I wasn’t interested in this game earlier in the week but after the line dropped to a touchdown, Indiana is worth a look. They opened as high as -9 at some sportsbooks.
The bottom line here is that Michigan State isn’t a very good team. They were crushed 49-7 last week by Iowa and lost 38-27 to Rutgers in their opener. Their lone win was a narrow three-point result against Michigan and it’s become clear that the Wolverines aren’t very good.
Indiana clearly has no business being the No. 10 team in the country but it’s been that kind of a weird year. Nonetheless, this is still a fairly decent team that appears to be on the rise. They are 3-0 with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, and Michigan.
Sparty tends to shoot themselves in the foot as they had seven turnovers against Rutgers and three times against Iowa. It’s possible they play a clean game here but Rocky Lombardi has been a disaster under center.
At -7, I’m game to take a flier with the Hoosiers and some people might even be inclined to use them for teasers or moneyline parlays. The Hoosiers haven’t won four in a row since 1993 but this looks like the spot where it happens.
Pick: Indiana -7
USC Trojans at Arizona Wildcats
Odds: USC -13.5
The Trojans are lucky to be 1-0 but the Wildcats might be lucky they didn’t play last week. If their season-opener versus Utah wasn’t canceled, we probably would have seen just how bad this team really is. They entered the year facing the lowest regular season win total in the Pac-12. They probably won’t stand much of a shot in this game unless USC keeps turning over the ball. That’s a possibility as few teams lack discipline more than Clay Helton’s squad but considering they coughed it up three times last week (and nearly lost as a result), look for them to be a bit more focused this time around.
Pick: USC -13.5
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Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.