College Football Futures: Best Win Total Under Bets (2020)
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Assuming a return to normalcy over the summer, the 2020 College Football season is now just over three months away. Games are set to kick off on August 29th, but sports bettors can get action ahead of the season courtesy of team futures odds. Team season win totals are a popular form of futures wager, and with 130 teams at the FBS level, there are certainly plenty of lines to choose from. Here are my best team win total under bets, courtesy of the odds available at PointsBet Sportsbook.
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Colorado State Rams | UNDER 6.5 (+120)
While many experts didn’t see Colorado State doing much of anything last season, the Rams showed plenty of fight under Mike Bobo. They pulled out four wins and played a few better teams to close results, including a touchdown loss to eventual Mountain West champion Boise State. However, Steve Addazio will replace Bobo at the helm in 2020. He will look to keep a Rams team that returns 76% of its offensive production on the rise.
Unfortunately for CSU, the schedule won’t be doing them any favors this year. The Rams open with the Rocky Mountain Showdown against Colorado, a game that they haven’t managed to win since 2014. Road nonconference games against Oregon State and Vanderbilt also won’t be easy. The end of Mountain West play is particularly daunting as well, with road games at San Diego State, Air Force, and Boise State in three of the final four.
If the Rams are to hit the over on 6.5, they will have to do most of their winning early. Since the team’s best-case scenario is probably only a seven-win season, the line is just way too high. Plus-money on the under makes it an even more intriguing play.
Auburn Tigers | UNDER 8.5 (+155)
If not for a miracle fourth-quarter comeback in last year’s season opener against Oregon, Auburn would’ve fallen short on this same win total line in 2019. Now, the Tigers will rely on new contributors to step up after losing nearly 40% of their production from last season. Although Gus Malzahn is bringing in a top-10 recruiting class, it may not be enough in such a loaded division.
Alabama, LSU, and Texas A&M appear poised to be the big three in the SEC West this year. In addition to those teams, Auburn also has a road game at SEC East favorite Georgia, a road game against an up-and-coming Ole Miss team, and a neutral site game against Mack Brown’s rising North Carolina program.
Betting against the SEC is never easy, but based on how I envision the SEC West Division playing out, I have to take the under on Auburn, given the plus-money odds. Be prepared to sweat it out, though, as they could finish with exactly eight wins.
Miami Hurricanes | UNDER 9 (-120)
Last year was abysmal for The U. The Hurricanes stumbled to a 6-7 overall record on the season, including a 4-4 record in ACC play. Last year was the program’s first under Manny Diaz, and many consider it the down year of the post-Mark Richt era. And while a 17th-ranked recruiting class is a positive, it may not be enough to jump the Hurricanes’ record up by four wins.
After a soft nonconference schedule, aside from a road trip to Michigan State to finish it out, the Canes could conceivably lose any of their next seven games. They avoid playing Clemson this year, but Florida State and a Friday night game at Wake Forest constitute a strong challenge from the Atlantic Division. The Coastal Division is again wide open, with North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Virginia and Virginia Tech all formidable opponents.
The under is intriguing here given that the win total sits on the even number of nine. The worst I could envision an under wager playing out is with a push. Miami will be better, but I’m not sure they are a full three wins better than last season.
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Henry John is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Henry, check out his archive and follow him @HankTimeSports.