College Football Week 10 Picks & Predictions: Auburn vs. Mississippi State (2022)
Letâs take a look at the College Football Week 10 odds, picks, and predictions for this weekâs game: Auburn vs. Mississippi State.
- Tennessee vs. Georgia
- Oklahoma State vs. Kansas
- Air Force vs. Army
- Ohio State vs. Northwestern
- Florida vs. Texas A&M
- Alabama vs. LSU
- Clemson vs. Notre Dame
- California vs. USC
- Penn State vs. Indiana
- Arizona vs. Utah
- Illinois vs. Michigan State
- UTSA vs. UAB
- James Madison vs. Louisville
- Maryland vs. Wisconsin
- Western Kentucky vs. Charlotte
- UNLV vs. San Diego State
Check out Thor Nystromâs Week 10 College Football Power Rankings >>
College Football Week 10 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Auburn vs. Mississippi State
Auburn (+13) at Mississippi State
As with last weekâs Charlotte +17 against Rice pick, you have free reign to pass on this one if you like. But Iâm going to present the case.
As youâre aware, Auburn fired HC Bryan Harsin on Monday. Harsinâs tenure ended with a four-game losing streak. Auburn opened with victories over Mercer and San Jose State, but the Tigers have gone 1-5 since (the only win was by a FG over Missouri in OT).
But the Tigers match up well, here. And data suggests that firing an HC is not a bad thing for week-after performance, nor rest-of-season performance. Below are updated âdead-cat bounceâ standings for Nebraska, Arizona State, Georgia Tech, Wisconsin, Colorado and Charlotte.
â¢Before firing HC: 6-22 ATS
â¢Week after firing HC: 4-2 ATS with three outright upsets as +14.5-or-more âdogs
Overall since firing HC: 12-9 ATS
Auburnâs best thing as a team, by far, is its pass defense (No. 36 success rate, No. 40 against explosion). Itâs Auburnâs run defense that has dragged the unit down this year. That wonât matter in this matchup against MSUâs Air Raid.
Additionally, Mississippi State hasnât looked as good recently. The Bulldogs started 5-1 but have since lost two-straight. If Mississippi State overlooks Auburn, theyâre gonna get put on upset alert real quick.
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