College Football Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Southern Miss vs. Coastal Carolina (2022)
Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 11 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game Southern Miss vs. Coastal Carolina.
And check out the rest of our Week 11 college football game previews and picks:
- East Carolina vs. Cincinnati
- Colorado vs. USC
- Kansas State vs. Baylor
- LSU vs. Arkansas
- Notre Dame vs. Navy
- Louisville vs. Clemson
- Georgia vs. Mississippi State
- TCU vs. Texas
- North Carolina vs. Wake Forest
- Alabama vs. Ole Miss
- Maryland vs. Penn State
- South Carolina vs. Florida
- Tennessee vs Missouri
- Troy vs Army
Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 11 College Football Power Rankings >>
College Football Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Southern Miss vs. Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina QB Grayson McCall is out for 3-6 weeks with a foot injury suffered in last week’s 35-28 win over Appalachian State. McCall is one of the 10-most valuable players in the nation to his team. Very few players in the FBS are worth as many points on the spread.
The Chants returned some of the least experience of any FBS team this year. But they had McCall. The two-time Sun Belt Player of the Year led a flawed roster to an 8-1 start by throwing for 2,314 yards and a sterling 21/1 TD/INT rate while adding four more TD on the ground.
Coastal Carolina has been one of the nation’s luckiest teams, with only 6.0 (-2.0) second-order wins. With McCall not around to steal victories from the jaws of defeat, Coastal Carolina is about to get hit with a one-two punch of attrition and regression.
Coastal does have a serviceable veteran backup in Bryce Carpenter. But whereas McCall, an NFL prospect, was able to mitigate Coastal’s myriad weaknesses, Carpenter is more of a paint-by-numbers system manager.
This isn’t an ideal matchup for Carpenter. Southern Miss’ stout defense ranks No. 44 SP+. It’s particularly good at keeping opposing offenses off schedule (No. 26 success rate against the rush, No. 23 success rate against the pass) and creating havoc (No. 11 havoc rate, No. 12 sack rate).
If Southern Miss can shut down Coastal’s running game, it’s going to force Carpenter to try to beat the Eagles from the pocket under constant duress. Southern Miss, 5-4, is one victory from bowl eligibility. The Eagles get it by upsetting the McCall-less Chants.
The pick: Southern Miss +5.5
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