College Football Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Troy vs Army (2022)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 11 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game Troy vs Army.

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College Football Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Troy vs Army

I expect this game to be low-scoring and UGLY! Troy isn’t an offensive juggernaut, averaging just over three TDs per game. The Trojans’ highest score against an FBS opponent this season was 34 vs. WKU, but 6 of their 9 games have gone under this total.

Troy doesn’t match up well offensively against Army. Troy is one sided on offense as a Top-25 passing offense, but they are one of only 12 teams averaging under 100 rushing yards per game.

Army is awful against the run, as they are one of 12 teams allowing over 200 yards rushing per game. However, they are top-20 against the pass and one of 30 teams allowing fewer than 200 yards passing.  

Troy does have a strong defense, especially for a G5 team. They are going to have to play strong against the run to stop the triple-option attack from the Black Knights.

Troy is led on defense by three All-Conference players upfront in DT Will Choloh Jr, Edge Javon Solomon and LB Carlton Martial who is also on the Senior Bowl watch list (along with another Trojan Edge Richard Jibunor). This strong front will have to hold the #2 rushing offense in the country.

The only team that Army has beaten in FBS was ULM. The Black Knights haven’t been the same type of offense in most games since RB Tyrell Robinson went down.

Troy should win this game. They have played in a decent amount of close games, but they stand 7-2 against the spread this season. Troy has won ATS in every game with a spread lower than 16 points and have won straight up three times as outright underdogs. 

Army put up some points in September against some good teams with 28 in a loss to Coastal Carolina and 38 against UTSA, but since October, their average PPG in losses has been just over 10 points. Troy will have to work to score, but, even if they give up some rushing yards to Army, they should still come away with a win. 

Troy is on a 6-game win streak and five of those have gone under this total. They win this one somewhere in the neighborhood of 28-14 or 31-10!

Troy (-9) vs Army AND UNDER 46.5

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