College Football Week 13 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (11/25)
Let’s take a look at some of our best bets for Friday’s slate of Week 13 College Football action.
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College Football Week 13 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday
Tulane vs. Cincinnati
With both of these team slosing the tie-breaker to UCF, this game is essentially a play-in game for the American Athletic Conference title game; in which the winner will also get home field advantage. For Cinci, they come into this game on a three-game win streak, and the two-time defending conference winners are peaking at the right time. Having won 32 straight at home, they’ll be expecting to make it 33 faving a Tulane team that is in a new position playing meaningful games this late in the season.
After finishing just 2-10 last season, this Green Wave team has rallied behind a defense that is amongst the best in the AAC. As of this week, Tulane ranks #18 in the country in allowing just 19.5 points per game, buoyed by a secondary allowing just 189.5 per game.
Unfortunately for the Bearcats, starting QB Ben Bryan is questionable in this one, which I expect to be the difference. Look for the Green Wave to get this one done as Willie Fritz gets his team back on the national stage.
Baylor vs. Texas
The Big 12 Championship game is at least half-way set, as TCU now just awaits their opponent. For the #23 ranked Longhorns, they might very well find themselves there with a win in this spot, as a win and Kansas (vs. Kansas State on Saturday) will get them there. It’s been a year of what-ifs for Texas, who are arguably the best 7-4 team we have seen in quite some time, falling short over what has been a daunting schedule.
Running back Bigan Robinson comes into this one following a career-best 243 yards and four TDs, as the Longhorns ravaged Kansas State 55-14 last week. For Baylor, they nearly had their best win the last few years, falling short to #4 TCU 29-28 on a last second field goal last week.
With a bowl already wrapped up and last week being their title game, expect a deflated Baylor to get ran off the field in Austin.
Utah State vs. Boise State
Everything is already sealed up for the 8-3 Boise State Broncos, as they’ll be the home team for the Mountain West title game in two weeks time. They got there on the heels of a torrid finish to the season, winning six of their final seven games sweeping the conference slate going 7-0. Unlike years past, the Broncos have relied on one of the nation’s top defenses, allowing just 17.3 points per game to rank #12 in the country.
Best of all, their secondary leads the country in allowing just 145.4 points per game. For Utah State, bowl seeding is very much on the line as they also come into this game playing well, winning five of their final six games. Like Boise, they also feature one of the nation’s better secondaries, and I expect the results to show that in this one.
While I lean Utah State, all signs for me point towards the under in this one.
NC State vs. North Carolina
With the ACC Championship game already set (North Carolina vs. Clemson), bragging rights and momentum are the only thing on the line in Chapel Hill on Friday. For UNC, another season has brought another stellar offense, as the the Tar Heels are averaging 3 touchdowns per game and #8 in the country in total offensive yards per game.
For the Wolfpack, they’ll be countering with one of the country’s top defenses on Friday, allowing just 323.4 yards of total offense per game. Their front seven has proven especially stellar, as they come into this one allowing just 101.4 yards per game on the ground.
Picking up right where Sam Howell left off, UNC quarterback Drake Maye leads the country with 4,211 yards through the air the season.
With both teams coming into this one following a loss, both will be eager to end their regular season on a high note. I like for this one to remain within a touchdown.
Arkansas vs. Missouri
With bowl eligibility on the line, Missouri will also be looking for revenge vs. Arkansas, having lost 34-17 last season for the first time in six meetings. Coming into this game, Missouri just trounced New Mexico 45-14 one week after suffering an equally devastating defeat to Tennesee. At quarterback, Brady Cook had one of his better performances of the season, throwing for three touchdowns on the day.
The Razorbacks also will be coming into this one riding high, however, as they just turned in one of their better results of the season themselves in a 42-27 upset win over top 15 Ole Miss. Up 41-6 after the third quarter, the game was even more lop-sided than the final score indicated.
A different team entirely with QB KJ Jefferson back in the mix, Arkansas averages 35 points per game with him on the field this week. With bowl seeding on the line for them, I like for the more talented Arkansas to take this one.
UCLA vs. California
Two teams in the middle of the PAC-12 standings with nothing to play for will face off Friday in Berkeley, CA, as #18 UCLA tries to pick up the pieces following a devastating loss to USC last week. With tears coming down his facing following the 48-45 defeat, UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson (DTR) threw an interception on their game-winning drive to seal the Bruins’ fate.
With six total touchdowns on the day, DTR still played incredibly well, but couldn’t get enough from his defense to be able to keep up with Lincoln Riley and company.
Now they’ll head north and try not to come out flat, as they take on a Cal team in the midst of a rebuild. Beating Stanford 27-20 last week, Cal scored 21 points to end the game, winning in the final minute. While I don’t expect much from this Cal team, I think this number has gotten too large for a clearly emotionally wiped UCLA team.
Florida vs. Florida State
For the 66th time in school history, Florida and Florida State will battle it out for the state of Florida, this one taking place in Tallahassee. For third-year head coach Mike Norvell, the turnaround of the program is well underway, as the Seminoles now sit at 8-3 and in-line for a very good bowl game should they win here and get to nine wins.
They also come into this one with the confidence they are peaking at the right time, as they hold a +134 point differential over their past four games.
As for the Gators, beating top 10 Utah to start the season remains the sole highlight, with last week’s loss to Vanderbilt certainly being the low point. With a bad loss here, first-year head coach Billy Napier might already be in trouble in Gainesville.
With the Gators two best offensive weapons in Ricky Pearsall and Xavier Henderson coming into this one banged up, if they even play, I like for Florida State to handle business in this one.
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