College Football Week 13 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday (11/26)
Let’s take a look at some of our best bets for Saturday’s slate of Week 13 College Football action.
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College Football Week 13 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday
LSU vs. Texas A&M
Two SEC programs trending in opposite directions will meet Saturday in College Station, as the #5 LSU Tigers take on the sinking Texas A&M Aggies. Already slated to face Georgia in the SEC Championship game, the Tigers will look to stay healthy and bolster their CFP resume with a win here, as the Aggies have already been eliminated from even a bowl bid.
Coming into season #6 in the AP preseason poll, things have gone extremely bad for Jimbo Fisher and the company, as their elite recruiting class has started to depart in the process.
For LSU, the Brian Kelly era is starting to take shape, as ASU transfer QB Jayden Daniels has come into his own as one of the best QBs in the conference. With much of this Aggies team already done for the season, look for the Tigers to roll as they continue their momentum into December.
Notre Dame vs. USC
USC kept their CFP aspirations alive last week as they outlasted UCLA, winning 48-45 after a fourth-quarter interception sealed the win. Now, they must knock off a surging Notre Dame team to keep those hopes alive once a game, as only a PAC-12 title game appearance sits between them and their goals. For the Trojans, the Lincoln Riley era is off to a stellar start, as his first year at the helm has them at the top of college football once again.
Transfer QB Caleb Williams has been the primary catalyst on the field, highlighted by his 500 yards of total offense last week as the Heisman candidate continues to build his case.
As for Notre Dame, a sluggish start has seen them rally to win eight of their 11 games this season, as the Marcus Freeman era is starting to get on track. While the Fighting Irish defense has been improving, they’re getting a different beast in this one. Look for a close game to be busted open by USC late.
South Carolina vs. Clemson
Clemson’s lax non-conference schedule certainly appears to be coming back to bite them, as the one-loss team has almost no way of playing themselves into the CFP at this point. Following a bad loss to Notre Dame three weeks ago, Clemson has won two straight vs. Louisville and Miami by a combined margin of +45.
While QB DJ Uiagalelei is still facing a lot of question marks moving forward, he’ll get the start again here vs. in-state rival South Carolina. For the Gamecocks, they’ll come into this one on a high, having knocked off then-#5 Tennessee last week 63-38 in a game that was never close. Quarterback Spencer Rattler finally showed the nation why he was once one of the most sought-after transfer products in the country, finishing with the best game of his SC career.
With a spot in the ACC title game already under wraps, look for a conservative Clemson team here to allow the Gamecocks to cover.
Michigan vs. Ohio State
In what will likely be a play-in game to the College Football Playoff, Michigan and Ohio State will face off as top-four foes for one of the only times in program history. For Michigan, the play of running back Blake Corum will likely tell the story, as the back comes into this one averaging 5.9 yards per carry with 18 touchdowns on the season.
For the Buckeyes, quarterback CJ Stroud has a Heisman campaign brewing of his own, as he comes into this one with a TD:INT ratio of 35:4 and completing 66% of his passes. With one of the best WR cores in the country at his disposal, this Ohio State offense has hummed along to the tune of 46.5 points per game, good enough for #2 in the country.
Facing a Michigan defense that ranks top five in the country in all of the top defensive metrics, we are on a collision course for the showdown of the week. I like for Michigan to have enough to keep this one inside of a touchdown, in a game I have much closer to a coin flip.
Georgia Tech vs. Georgia
All that sits in between not just a spot in the SEC title game but likely a confirmed spot in the Colege Football Playoff for top-ranked Georgia, is a win vs. Georgia Tech. In what would also give them back-to-back undefeated regular seasons, the Bulldogs are likely feeling confident coming into the most one-sided “rivalry†in the country.
As for the Yellow Jackets, they need a win here to become bowl eligible, though the challenge will be arguably the steepest it’s faced in years. #1 in the country in allowing just 11 points per game, this Georgia defense has essentially no flaws, and while the Georgia Tech run under interim head coach Brent Key has been admirable, I don’t foresee an upset here.
I do, however, see Georgia Tech play a full 60 minutes in this game, rallying behind a coach in Key who is angling toward a full-time job with the team next season. Look for the Bulldogs to take their foot off the gas late, as Georgia Tech manages to stay inside of this number.
Kansas vs. Kansas State
Having lost five of six since starting a perfect 6-0 and leading the Big 12 heading into October, the Kansas Jayhawks are only playing the role of spoiler in this one. Losing 14-55 to Texas last week and 28-43 to Texas Tech the week prior, the wheels have come all the way off for a Kansas team lacking any kind of confidence.
While the offense has remained formidable, the defense has been downright terrible, ranking 100th or worse in total yards, passing yards, rushing yards, and points allowed per game.
As for Kansas State, a late push up the standings has them in a position to be in the Big 12 title game with a win here, as their defense has been the rock. As of this game, they are allowing just 18.7 points per game, good enough for 15th nationally.
Getting this one at home, look for Kansas State to decide this one early.
Auburn vs. Alabama
This year’s edition of the Iron Bowl will be for bragging rights only, as both Auburn and Alabama will be held out of the SEC Championship game this season. For #7 Alabama, two losses in three weeks sealed their fate, as their losses to both Tennesee and LSU came down to their defense not being up to par (for their standards). A third loss was almost handed down at the hands of Ole Miss two weeks ago before the Crimson Tide rallied late to avoid disaster not seen in Tuscaloosa in the better part of a decade.
For Auburn, six losses in seven games that spanned from September to early November has them looking for a new head coach, as interim head coach Cadillac Williams seems to have this team still motivated. Over their past two weeks, the Tigers have won both games, covering both with an ATS margin of +21.
In a game that means a lot to both programs even still, expect a closer-than-expected game.
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