College Football Week 8 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Duke vs. Miami (2022)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 8 odds, picks, and predictions for: Duke vs. Miami.

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College Football Week 8 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Duke vs. Miami

Miami has been disappointing in the 2022 campaign. High hopes for the offense have been dashed early. An EPA per play ranking of 68th is not where they envisioned themselves in head coach Mario Cristobal’s first season with the Hurricanes. In week 8, they’ll match up with a Duke defense that has improved on last season.

Duke’s run defense has led the way for that unit. Sitting 15th in defensive run EPA, they’ve been able to control opponents’ ground game, which should continue in this matchup. Miami ranks near last, 117th, in offensive run EPA.

Though Miami has had success in the air, they’ve struggled in games where the offense couldn’t get the ground game going, as they did in losses to Middle Tennessee and North Carolina. Without a run game, Miami may not be able to move the ball on offense the way they need to in order to pull out the home win.

Duke’s offense has gone punch for punch with some of the better offenses in FBS. Tough losses to Kansas and UNC saw the Blue Devils rack up 460+ yards. Though they may not be an elite unit, they’re more than capable of putting up points with dual-threat QB Riley Leonard.

After a disappointing start, there’s a concern about where Miami’s head is at. This Duke team struggled in the last years under legendary coach David Cutcliffe, but Mike Elko has these guys two wins away from their first bowl game since 2018. They’ll move their magic number to just one with an upset win over Miami.

Pick: Duke ML (+260)

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