College Football Week 8 Odds, Picks & Predictions: UAB vs. Western Kentucky (Friday)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 8 odds, picks, and predictions for Friday: UAB vs. Western Kentucky.

And check out our other College Football Week 8 game previews:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 8 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 8 Odds, Picks & Prediction: UAB vs. Western Kentucky

UAB (+1.5) at Western Kentucky

I love handicapping teams like Western Kentucky, with strengths and weaknesses so clearly delineated. Last week, I advocated for WKU laying a little over a TD on the road against MTSU – because the Hilltoppers matched up so well. WKU won 35-17.

MTSU was the perfect matchup for WKU. UAB? Not so much.

The Hilltoppers’ Air Raid passing attack is dangerous, both efficient and explosive. But WKU can’t run the ball. So if you slow its passing game, you derail the entire attack. On defense, WKU gets pushed around up-front and naturally struggles against the run, but the Hilltoppers boast a strong G5 secondary.

So you play on WKU against teams that throw a lot, can’t run, and struggle to defend the pass – MTSU come on down! – while playing against WKU with teams that run the ball effectively, have good offensive lines, and can shut down the pass.

Which of course describes UAB. The Blazers have an awesome pass defense – ranking No. 26 in efficiency and No. 9 in explosion. Meanwhile, UAB is equipped to tee-off on a WKU run defense that ranks No. 95 in efficiency and No. 76 in explosion. UAB’s rushing offense ranks No. 16 and No. 4, respectively, in those categories.

Matchups make fights, and this time around WKU is squaring off with an opponent built to exploit their weaknesses.

The pick: UAB +1.5

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