College Football Week 9 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss (2022)
Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 9 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss.
And check out the rest of our game previews for Week 9:
- Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
- Notre Dame vs. Syracuse
- Ohio State vs. Penn State
- Florida vs. Georgia
- Kentucky vs. Tennessee
- Michigan State vs. Michigan
- Stanford vs. UCLA
- Iowa State vs. Oklahoma
- Arizona State vs. Colorado
- Charlotte vs. Rice
- Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP
- Louisville vs. Wake Forest
- North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
- Iowa vs. Northwestern
- Miami (OH) vs. Akron
- TCU vs. West Virginia
- Illinois vs. Nebraska
Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 9 Best Bets >>
College Football Week 9 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss
Outside of ECU’s upset of UCF, our best call last week was coupling LSU as a short home ‘fav against Mississippi with the under.
The handicap of the side in this game proved tricky – we trust Ole Miss more, but they’re in a deflation spot whereas A&M returns home after four-straight games away from Kyle Field – so we’re going to pass on that and return to well with an under on a Rebels game.
Mississippi HC Lane Kiffin is known for breakneck offensive pace and high-scoring offenses. This year’s team is still running hypo-tempo – No. 1 in the nation – but it is no longer a terrifying unit to defend.
Mostly because QB Jaxson Dart, a USC transfer, has underwhelmed. Dart has already thrown two more interceptions than he did last year as a true freshman at USC (in only 10 more attempts).
And while Dart threw only one interception in September against Ole Miss’ cupcake non-conference schedule, he’s thrown at least one in all four SEC games this month (five total). In the games against Kentucky, Auburn, and LSU, Dart completed a meager 51.5% of his passes while averaging 238.6 passing YPG.
Perhaps because of this, Ole Miss has swung to a run-heavy ethos. Only five non-option teams in the nation hand the ball off at a higher percentage than the Rebels. A&M’s pass defense is awesome, further incentivizing Kiffin to keep the ball on the ground (and keep the clock running) on Saturday.
A&M’s possessions will normalize the game’s pace. The Aggies rank only No. 124 in adjusted pace, and they’re incentivized to go even slower on Saturday to give their defense longer breaks between Ole Miss’ possessions.
The Aggies will either be starting limited veteran QB Haynes King or raw true freshman QB Connor Wiegman behind center. A&M’s quarterback issues and dearth of receiving talent following OW Ainas Smith’s season-ending injury have neutered the aerial game. A&M’s gameplan will be getting undersized but explosive RB Devon Achane the ball as much as possible. After every play, they’ll huddle up and bleed the play clock for all it’s worth.
I see a pass-averse, ground-heavy chessmatch coming between a pair of teams that have combined to go under point totals by an average of 7.5 PPG this season.
The pick: A&M-Mississippi UNDER 55.5
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