Colts vs. Titans: NFL Week 13 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets
I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Colts vs. Titans.
NFL Betting Primer: Colts vs. Titans
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts (-1.5)
The Titans have covered the spread in each of their last four games at Nissan Stadium. 4-0 straight up in the Music City. If you have read any version of the BettingPros Primer this season, you'll be strongly aware of the home/road splits with the Tennessee Titans. Fade them on the road but back at that home (just last like last week).
The Titans are losers of 9 straight on the road.
This team plays vastly differently at home than it does on the road. 24.8 points per game at home with wins against the Chargers/Bengals/Falcons/Panthers. Just 12.3 points on the road.
They have a bad offensive line that doesn't travel well. But they play much better at home where their offense has not only scored points but posted monster yardage totals. The Titans have averaged over 136 rushing yards per game at home this season (10th).
The Colts run defense has been gashed since they lost Grover Stewart to a 6-game suspension.
Since Week 7 they have faced 5 RBs who have all gone OVER their projected rushing totals. The last two have gone for 88-plus rushing yards.
Ride the Big Dog, Derrick Henry, for another week. Henry is NOTORIOUS for steamrolling defenses in early December. 5.5 career yards per carry in December for Henry - the highest mark in any month.
Indianapolis is 7-4 ATS this season, and have been formidable on the road. 4-1 on the road this season.
As for the total, 9 of the last 10 games have gone UNDER for Tennessee. At home this season they are 2-2 versus the O/U. More importantly, ten of the Titans’ last 11 games following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Considering the Titans also have the 4th-best red zone defense - I think the under is the firm play here.
The fear is that explosive plays allowed by both defenses could shoot this game over the total.
https://twitter.com/arjunmenon100/status/1729513728104624302
The Colts have been one of the few "over" machines this season, boasting an impressive 7-4 record toward the over. However, one of their unders came in this same matchup back in Week 5. The Colts won 23-16 as 2.5-point home dogs playing short of the 43.5-point total.
I bet the Titans +2 early in the week but feel strongly enough to back them with the to just win outright based on the most updated numbers.
Also lean toward the under, with my projection having the Titans controlling more of this game. Star running back Jonathan Taylor also won't play, which removes another explosive playmaker from the equation.
My Picks:
- Titans +1.5
My Props:
- Derrick Henry over 66.5 rushing yards
- Will Levis under 196.5 passing yards
- Michael Pittman Jr. over 70.5 receiving yards
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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