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Commanders vs. Giants NFL Picks & Player Prop Bets (Week 2)

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Introducing the Week 2 edition of the BettingPros primer, brought to you by Bettingpros.com! I'm Andrew Erickson, and I'm here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay.

Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering, this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action.

Get ready to tackle the NFL season with a betting lens as we break down the Week 2 matchups and identify our favorite bets and picks. Here are my top picks for the game between the Commanders and Giants.

Check out the rest of Andrew Erickson’s Week 2 Betting Primer>>

Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (-2)

Sides:

  • Washington has covered as an underdog in fewer than 50% of their games since the start of 2023.
  • The Commanders have lost each of their last eight games.
  • The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games.
  • The Giants are 6-3 ATS over their last nine games.
  • The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against the Commanders.

Totals:

  • Seven of the Commanders' last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • When Washington didn't allow 20 points on defense since the start of last season, they were a perfect 4-0 toward the under; when they allowed at least 20 points on defense, they were 11-3 toward the OVER.
  • The team is 5-4 toward the over in the Giants' last nine games. Point totals of 51, 66, 46, 50, and 58 when the games have gone over.
  • Each of the Commanders’ last four games against NFC East opponents has gone OVER the total points line.

Overall:

The Giants are bad. This we know. But this Washington Commanders’ defense is almost just as bad if not worse. I do expect Dan Quinn to eventually get his unit to improve as the season progresses, but they just don't have the personnel in pass rush or coverage to stop opposing passing games like he was able to do in Dallas.

I'm also not sure anybody needs this game more than Giants quarterback Daniel Jones. If anybody is up to the task of taking on the nation's capital football team, it's Jones. In his NFL career, he has lost to the Commanders franchise only once, with five wins and one tie.

If there's any chance of positivity for the Giants in 2024, it should come this week against the egregious Washington defense.

So, although I am squeamish about going back to the Giants after they were curb-stomped by the Vikings as small home underdogs… this Commanders team is worse than Minnesota.

We also saw the Giants do the exact same thing last year: get blown out at home and respond in Week 2 with a road victory. Head coach Brian Daboll has typically been great at responding ATS after a loss.

The No. 1 ranked betting system in the BettingPros NFL Betting Systems tool is NYG as Underdogs. 19-8-1 (70%). Trust the process.

Props:

  • As bad as Daniel Jones was last week, he still completed 22 passes on 42 attempts. The Week 2 line is set at 19.5 completions.
  • Wan'Dale Robinson has gone over 35.5 receiving yards in three straight games. He's gone over 4.5 receptions in three straight games. His prop in Week 1 is listed at plus money. In Week 1, Robinson was heavily involved, seeing a game-high 12 targets and catching six for 44 yards, with 10 YAC, making up 29 percent of the team's target share (35% target rate). Robinson also led the Giants with three red-zone targets. Malik Nabers also popped up on the injury report on Thursday.

My Picks:

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