Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings Odds and Game Pick (2020)

As the halfway point of the 2020 NFL season has now come and gone, the NFC playoff picture is starting to come into focus. These next few weeks will be critical to determine where the chips fall. For both teams in this one, a loss here would be a setback they could ill-afford.

The Vikings have followed their 1-5 start with three straight wins, and a win here would get them back to .500, keeping them alive in the NFC Wild Card picture.

For the Cowboys, who find themselves with the worst record in the conference, a Wild Card spot is all but impossible. But in a putrid NFC East, a win here might put them just a half-game from the top of the division.

Let’s take a closer look.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

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Details

  • Opening Lines: Vikings -9.5; OU 46.5
  • Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • Start Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Television: FOX
  • Last Meeting: November 10, 2019– Minnesota 28, Dallas 24
+7
-110
o47.5
-114
+265
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-7
-110
u47.5
-106
-330

View consensus picks and notes from top betting experts for the Cowboys at Vikings

Overview

When the Vikings began the season by losing four of five games, talks of changes both on the staff and under center became rampant. But as he’s been known to do, quarterback Kirk Cousins has been quieting all of those rumblings.

Throwing for 2,147 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions on the season, Cousins has done just enough to get the Vikings where they need to be as the home stretch of the season comes into view. But while Cousins has been largely average, running back Dalvin Cook has emerged as the team’s workhorse. Through nine games, Cook leads the league with 954 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, and he has been nothing short of critical for their success these last three weeks.

On the other side of this contest, the Cowboys come into this game in continued search of an offensive identity. They haven’t had much of one since starting quarterback Dak Prescott went down for the year. Incumbent backup Andy Dalton, who is 0-2 as a starter but was showing improvement, has missed the Cowboy’s last two games with a concussion and then a battle with COVID-19.

In his absence, the offense has struggled even more, as they’ve scored an average of just 14 points over their last two games..

Trends

  • Dallas is 4-1 ATS over the last five seasons in Week 11
  • Dallas is 0-5 ATS in their last five trips to Minnesota
  • The Over is a perfect 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five home games

Prop Bet

1st Quarter Money Line (Inc. Tie): Minnesota (-170)
All indications are pointing toward Dalton getting the start this week, with last week’s bye giving him the added time he needed to get healthy again. Unlike other players who have missed time on the COVID-19 list, reports are Dalton was actually very sick for a couple of days. I expect an already slow starting team to come out even slower in this one as Dalton gets his witts about him, and for an early field goal from the Vikings to be enough.

Bottom Line

Prior to the Steelers game just before the bye week, this Dallas offense averaged just 7.3 points per game in its prior three, two of which were with Dalton. In a game I expect Minnesota to get up in early and largely try and pound Cook in the later quarters, I’m taking the under in what I expect to be a slow-paced game from start to finish.

Pick: Under 48.5

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TJ Perun is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from TJ, check out his archive and follow him @JohnnyCovers.