Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Sports Betting Guide
Through five weeks of action, the Green Bay Packers look like the team to beat in the NFC North. Despite an ugly loss at home to the Philadelphia Eagles, Green Bay is still 4-1 heading into a key divisional showdown against the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football. Meanwhile, if the Lions want us to believe they’re for real, this will be their chance to prove it in primetime.
Sign up now at PointsBet and a $100 bonus when you bet $50 >>
Details
- Opening Line: Green Bay -5.5
- Current Line: Green Bay -4.5
- Over/Under: 40
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
- Start Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Last Meeting: Lions 31 at Packers 0 (12/30/18)
View consensus picks from 100+ experts for the Lions at Packers >>
Overview
It’s hard to criticize Detroit’s start to this season. After being largely overlooked heading into the year, the Lions are one late collapse against the Arizona Cardinals away from being 3-1. Their only loss is to the Kansas City Chiefs, which also came late. Stafford has impressed with 1,122 passing yards and nine touchdowns through four games. Meanwhile, running back Kerryon Johnson has lived up to the hype with 251 rushing yards and a touchdown. Considering what the Eagles were able to do to the Packers’ run defense in Week 4, Johnson could have a big workload this week. The Packers’ run defense has allowed an average of 161.3 yards rushing over the last four games.
Meanwhile, Rodgers and company saved their best performance of the season so far for the Cowboys last week. Rodgers threw for 238 yards while running back Aaron Jones went off for a career-high 182 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns in the victory. The offense had sputtered through the first four games of the year, playing well in patches. They looked great last week, and you can see that it was mostly thanks to Jones and the ground game. That’s exactly what LaFleur wants as he likes Rodgers throwing off of play-action and when there’s the threat of the run.
If the Packers can continue to run the ball like that, they will be tough for any opponent in the NFC to beat. Detroit is giving up 4.8 yards per carry, so that’s a good sign for the Packers.
Meanwhile, it was a good bounce-back effort for the Green Bay defense after it was humbled by Philadelphia the previous week. The Packers have allowed an average of 18.6 points per game this season. If they can hold the Lions to that in Week 6, they should be able to pick up another important win at home.
Trends
- Detroit is 7-2 SU & ATS coming off a bye since 2010
- Lions have won 4 straight vs. Packers
- Green Bay is 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games
- Packers are 22-3 SU in last 25 home games vs. Lions
Bottom Line
While it’s still a work in progress, there is a lot to love about the start for Green Bay under LaFleur. With the exception of a shaky performance on a short week against the Eagles, the Packers have gotten the results they have wanted without playing their best game just yet. While Detroit had the benefit of the bye week, it will be difficult for them to come in and hand it to a Green Bay side that understands the importance of this game after struggling versus this specific opponent in previous years. I don’t see the Packers losing at home two times in a row.
Prediction: Packers 22, Lions 15
Sign up now at PointsBet and get up to $1,000 back on your first two bets! >>
Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 6
Seattle Seahawks vs. Cleveland Browns (+1.5)
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-4)
New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Washington Redskins vs. Miami Dolphins (+3.5)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens (-10.5)
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay (+2)
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets (+7)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)
Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos (-2)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams (-3)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)
Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.