Eagles vs. Commanders: NFL Week 8 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets
I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Eagles vs. Commanders.
NFL Betting Primer: Eagles vs. Commanders
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)
It's our second rematch in the Week 8 slate as these teams met back in Week 4 in Philadelphia. The Commanders gave Philly all they could handle, matching the Eagles punch-for-punch offensively. Ultimately, they fell just short of victory, losing in OT 34-31. The Eagles got the win, but the Commanders got the cover on a 9-point spread.
Fast forward to this week, and Philly is favored by a touchdown on the road.
But as I have voiced every single week regarding the Commanders, it's still all about turnovers.
When they have failed ATS they have combined for 10 offensive turnovers. In the 3 games they have covered, 0 turnovers on offense.
The Commanders had zero turnovers when they first played the Eagles. Consider me very skeptical that they can repeat those efforts. Especially with their defense unable to slow down the Eagles' high-powered offense that ranks fourth in points per game. Their fatal flaw has been in the red zone, but it's improved over their last 3 games.
Still, any red-zone inefficiencies for the Eagles would likely push toward the under, as I likely will side with. Philly is 4-0 toward the under on the road this season, with Washington 2-1 toward the under at home.
We typically get less scoring in the second game of divisional opponents, so don't hold your breath for another shootout. Not with sack machine Sam Howell leading the charge for the Commanders, facing a defense that ranks first in pressures.
Seven of the Commanders’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Speaking of under…
Jahan Dotson’s receiving yards. Woof. The Under hit 5/7 this season at a line of 34.5. Failed to eclipse this number against the Eagles back in Week 4. He only has 40-plus receiving yards twice this season.
Brian Robinson UNDER 10.5 carries. Another woof. Been under this number in four of his last five games. The Eagles are allowing the fewest fantasy points per game to RBs while facing the league’s lowest rush play rate. Washington ranks third in pass rate over expectation.
The Commander’s backfield is also starting to morph into a three-headed monster between B-Rob, Antonio Gibson and Chris Rodriguez. BRob has totaled 24 carries for 64 yards in the last 3 games as a result. Rodriguez led the team in rushing last week.
My Picks:
- Eagles -6.5 (-110 BetMGM)
- Under 43.5 (-105 FanDuel Sportsbook)
My Props:
- Jahan Dotson under 34.5 receiving yards (-110 BetMGM)
- Brian Robinson Jr. under 10.5 carries (-105 DraftKings Sportsbook)
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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