Elliott vs. Asakura UFC 319 Picks & Predictions

UFC 319 is set for Saturday night in Chicago, Illinois, and all roads lead to a middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis (champion) and Khamzat Chimaev (No. 3). Check out my full breakdown and betting analysis for the main event here. In this article, I'm diving into three other main card bouts from a sports betting perspective. Here are my top UFC 319 main card bets for Elliott vs. Asakura.

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UFC 319 Main Card Picks: Elliott vs. Asakura

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tim Elliott vs. Kai Asakura

The main card opens up with a banger in the flyweight division between Tim Elliott (No. 11) and his 21-13-1 record and Kai Asakura (No. 15) and his 21-5-0 record. Asakura will make the walk for the first time since December 2024, when he was submitted (Rear Naked Choke) in the flyweight championship by Alexandre Pantoja. He's a massive -325 favorite on Saturday, while Elliott comes back at +260 to secure his second consecutive victory.

I like Asakura to bounce back and secure the victory on Saturday night. I doubt the Japanese-born brawler wants to go to the floor with Elliott, which means this win will likely come by decision or knockout. Elliott has only suffered one knockout loss across 34 professional fights, so I think we'll ultimately see this one go the distance. He has dropped toward the bottom of the division, where he's managed to stay in the rankings by taking down mid-tier fighters. However, against an opponent of Asakura's caliber, I don't think he'll fare too well. I like Asakura to win by points.

Bet: Kai Asakura to Win by Decision (+150)


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