Green Bay Packers vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds And Game Pick (2020)

The Green Bay Packers played the Jacksonville Jaguars like a team that was looking ahead to its next game. That next game is here. The Packers go to Indianapolis to face the Colts in a significant late-afternoon game on the Sunday before Thanksgiving. Both teams are fighting not just for division titles, but for seeding in the playoffs and the best possible path to the Super Bowl.

The Indianapolis Colts have looked very ordinary at times this season, but they played their best half of the year to throttle the Tennessee Titans and announce themselves as legitimate AFC South contenders. Are the Titans better than the Packers? Those two teams will play later in the season, but for now, many will wonder if the Colts’ win over Tennessee puts them on Green Bay’s level. It’s an open question, and part of why this game is so interesting.

Compare odds from all major sportsbooks for the Packers vs. Colts >>

Details

  • Opening Line: Packers -2.5
  • Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Start Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • Last Meeting: Packers 26 vs. Colts 31 (11/6/16)
+2.5
-110
o51
-110
+109
VIEW PICKS
-2.5
-110
u51
-110
-130

View consensus picks and notes from top betting experts for the Packers vs. Colts >>

Overview

The Packers barely defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars at home, 24-20, in a game where their offense could never get off the ground. Davante Adams, their best wide receiver, was hurt in this game. He played portions of the contest but is well below 100 percent. This accounts for the four-point shift from the opening betting line to the current one, which has the Colts as narrow favorites. The Packers’ passing game remains limited when Adams isn’t leading the charge. Aaron Rodgers has developed more of a relationship this year with tight end Robert Tonyan. The two formed a strong connection on the field in a Monday Night Football blowout of the Atlanta Falcons, leading some to think that Green Bay would have a big second option available. However, that hasn’t necessarily been the case.

It’s also worth noting that Green Bay’s blowout of the San Francisco 49ers a few weeks ago came when the 49ers were missing a large number of frontline starters. When you consider that the Packers lost to the Minnesota Vikings just before their win over the 49ers, they really haven’t played that well over the past several weeks. There is reason to doubt them as they go to Indianapolis.

The Colts had been in the rut the Packers had experienced, especially on offense, but they busted out a 21-0 second half to erase a 17-13 halftime deficit and hammer the Titans, 34-17, last Thursday. The Colts know that quarterback Philip Rivers does not have big-time arm strength, so they need to do everything else well in order to put Rivers in a position to win. Against the Titans, they did just that, with a blocked punt return for a touchdown plus a dominant second-half defense and a strong running game. The Colts have not shown the ability to consistently produce large point totals, but when they have all facets of their offense humming, they are formidable.

Trends

  • The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
  • The Packers are 8-3 ATS against teams with winning records.
  • The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in November. 

Bottom Line

The difference between Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers is hard to ignore here. Both quarterbacks have been around the NFL for a decade and a half, but Rodgers still has elite skills and a devastating arm which can push the ball down the field. Rivers lacks that. The Colts have to be perfect or at least close to perfect to win. Their margin for error is a lot smaller.

Pick: Packers +2.5

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