Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans Odds and Game Pick
Football fans are in for a treat this Thursday night when the Indianapolis Colts travel to the Music City to take on the Tennessee Titans. This AFC South rivalry game has plenty more at stake than bragging rights. The winner will have the leg up in the division race as the push for the postseason heats up. The betting odds favor the home team by the slimmest of margins ahead of this Thursday Night Football matchup.
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Details
- Opening Lines: Titans -1.5; O/U 50.5
- Current ATS Line: Titans -1.5
- Current Over/Under: 48.5
- Location: Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN
- Start Time: 8:20 p.m. EST
- Television: FOX, NFL Network
- Last Meeting: December 1, 2019 – The Titans defeated the Colts 31-17 in Indianapolis.
- Attendance: About 10,000 fans will be allowed to attend.
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IND
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+1.5
-108
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o48.5
-110
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+110
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TEN
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-1.5
-112
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u48.5
-110
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-130
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View consensus picks from experts for Colts at Titans >>
Overview
The Colts come into Thursday’s divisional showdown off a disappointing home loss to the Baltimore Ravens, a game that many people were calling their first true test of the season. Indianapolis outplayed the Ravens for the first half before failing to muster any offensive output over the final 30 minutes. Despite lacking a true go-to receiver, Philip Rivers has not been terrible this season. The Colts backfield is a revolving door lately, as Jordan Wilkins notched more carries than highly touted rookie Jonathan Taylor for the second straight week. Taylor failed to help his cause against Baltimore, coughing up a fumble that was returned for a Ravens’ touchdown.
The Titans managed to snap a two-game skid last week with a win over the Chicago Bears. Despite only completing 10 of 21 passes, Ryan Tannehill was able to connect with A.J. Brown for a handful of big plays and threw for two scores in the win. Every bit of it was needed as the Bears bottled up Derrick Henry in a way that no prior Tennessee opponent this season has been able to. Like Chicago, the Colts defense has been imposing their will on opponents all season. As good as the Titans offense has looked at times, it could be another uphill battle on Thursday night.
Trends
- Colts 2020 Betting Trends: 4-4 ATS; 4-4 to the Over
- Titans 2020 Betting Trends: 3-5 ATS; 5-2-1 to the Over
- The Colts are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against the Titans, but only 3-3 in the last six.
- The Under has cashed in three of the last five head-to-head meetings between the Colts and Titans.
- The road team is 4-1 both straight up and ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings between the Colts and Titans.
Prop Bet
Colts First Half Total Field Goals: Over 1 (+134 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
The Colts offense ranks in the middle of the pack in terms of points scored per game. Interestingly, Indianapolis is doing over half of their scoring in the first half of games. The Colts come into Thursday’s contest averaging 15.4 first half points, good for seventh in the NFL. While a Colts first half moneyline bet (+106) was also appealing, I’ll look to isolate another strength of the team in kicker Rodrigo Blankenship. The rookie out of Georgia is 17-19 on field goals and has made two or more in five of the Colts’ seven games played this season. For all the knocks on Rivers and the Indianapolis offense, I think they’ll be able to move the ball on a mediocre Titans defense. The worst you can do here is push, making the plus money on over 1 first half Blankenship field goal all the more appealing.
Bottom Line
The spread for this game is yet to drift far from the opening number of Titans -1.5, perhaps unsurprisingly given the toss-up feel this AFC South game has. There has been early sharp money on the under though, as the total has come down a full two points from the opening 50.5.
While the Titans have been a predominantly Over team this season, betting primetime unders has been a successful course for NFL bettors to follow. I’d much sooner see this game playing out similarly to Tennessee’s 24-17 win over Chicago last week than as a shootout. There is still value on the under for me even after the initial line move.
Indianapolis was as sharp as can be against the Ravens last week, with late line moves causing them to actually close as the favorite. While it proved to be the wrong side, I personally feel as though the Ravens are superior to the Titans, and we are getting a line that is essentially the exact same. Favorites of less than 3 points have been failing to cover at a high rate all season across the NFL. I’ll take my chances with the Colts once again. A moneyline bet is also in play.
Picks: Colts +1.5, Under 48.5 (-106 and -110 respectively at FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Henry John is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Henry, check out his archive and follow him @HankTimeSports.