Jets vs. Raiders: NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets
I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Jets vs. Raiders.
NFL Betting Primer: Jets vs. Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New York Jets (-1)
The Raiders cannot stop the run - 3rd in rushing yards allowed per game to RBs - and that is going to be an issue against Gang Green and their star RB, Breece Hall.
Offensively, Aidan O'Connell is going to run into MAJOR issues against the Jets defense. Their defense has been lights out, holding opponents to the league's second-lowest yards per attempt. And that's being against the league's 6th-most difficult schedule featuring QBs such as Josh Allen, Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts and Justin Herbert.
The Raiders are 7-2 toward the under. 4-0 toward the under at home. I presume they go run-heavy with a rookie QB - 12% run rate over expectation last week – with New York's bigger weakness against the run. 4th in pass defense DVOA compared to 21st in run defense DVOA.
The Jets are 5-3 toward the under this season.
Bet the under with offenses that want to run the football. The Jets will feed Hall and the Raiders will feed Jacobs. Great for ball control and grinding out wins. But not for consistently hitting overs.
As for sides, here are the trends. The home team has won each of the Raiders' last six games. LV has been a much better team at home overall - 3-1 overall - and they've covered a three-point spread or less in 3 straight home games. However, they were favored in all those contests. LV has been favored in every single home this season aside from this spot.
They are 1-3 as underdogs this season. New York is 1-0 as favorites this season. Again, likely a shy-away spot with such a close spread - just bet the under - but I'll land with Jets’ elite defense. The Raiders have not beaten any team with a winning record as they have faced the league's fifth-easiest schedule thus far. New York has faced a gauntlet - 6th-toughest - to start the year and has been able to come out with a .500 record through 9 weeks with Zach Wilson at QB. They are the better team.
My Picks:
- Under 36.5
- Jets -1
My Props:
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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