Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders NFL Sports Betting Guide

The Kansas City Chiefs didn’t skip a beat in Week 1 as their offense – even after losing Tyreek Hill early in the game – put up 40 points in a 40-26 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. After shredding a good defense on the road, they’re now facing what’s supposedly a much weaker unit in Oakland, which will be without at least one starter in the secondary. The Raiders are coming off a very positive performance on Monday Night Football, comfortably beating the Denver Broncos. Can they carry that momentum into Week 2 and give the Chiefs a game or was Week 1 merely a one-off?

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Details

  • Opening Line: Chiefs -8.5
  • Current Line: Chiefs -7.5 at PointsBet
  • O/U: 53.5
  • Location: Oakland Alameda County Coliseum, Oakland, California
  • Start Time: 4:05 pm ET
  • Last Meeting: December 30, 2018 – Kansas City defeated Oakland 35-3 at Arrowhead Stadium

View consensus picks from 100+ experts for the Chiefs at Raiders >>

Overview

The Chiefs, in 2018, created one of the great offensive juggernauts in NFL history. The Chiefs played 18 games – 16 in the regular season, two in the playoffs. Their lowest point total in those 18 games was 26 points. They scored fewer than 30 points only four times. The Chiefs scored 555 points in the regular season, one of the highest point totals for one team in NFL history. The 2013 Denver Broncos are the all-time leader with 606 points. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has a remarkably diverse skill set. He showed he could throw the ball down the field, but he also showed he could throw the ball from a sidearm angle and fit the ball into all sorts of tight spots under pressure. The wizardry of Mahomes made the Kansas City passing game very hard to stop. The play-calling expertise of coach Andy Reid enhanced Mahomes’ talents. The Chiefs exploded for 40 points in their first game of this season. They will be a headache for every defense they play.

The Raiders watched Antonio Brown leave for the New England Patriots before the start of the season, and while that was expected to tear the team apart, it actually brought them together. They won their season opener against the Denver Broncos and enter the week with confidence. Rookie running back Josh Jacobs totaled over 100 yards in Week 1 along with a pair of touchdowns while Derek Carr was remarkably efficient. He graded out as Pro Football Focus’ top quarterback in Week 1. If the Raiders can do more of the same, which is convert third downs, go on long drives, and keep their defense fresh, they’ll have a shot in this game.

Trends

  • The Chiefs are 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games in September.
  • Kansas City is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight road games versus a team with a winning home record.
  • The Chiefs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win.
  • The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
  • Oakland is 17-35-1 in its last 53 games following a straight-up win.
  • The Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.

Bottom Line

The Chiefs set a very high standard on offense, and it will be very hard for the Raiders to match it. However, after watching Gardner Minshew cut up the Chiefs’ defense, it gives me pause laying eight points with the Chiefs on the road, although I think they do cover.

Instead, the over makes a lot of sense here. Two average defenses, one explosive offense, and one other that should be pretty good. Go with the over here.

Pick: Over 53.5

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Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.