Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots Odds and Game Pick (2020)
Week 3 features the head coach battle of Jon Gruden vs. Bill Belichick, as the Las Vegas Raiders head to Foxboro to take on the New England Patriots. Both teams will be searching for their second win of the season, though the Patriots are the clear home favorites in the odds.
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Raiders vs Patriots Odds and Info
All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Opening Lines: NE -5.5, O/U 48.0
- Moneyline: LV: (+198) | NE: (-240)
- Spread: LV: +5.5 (-110) | NE: -5.5 (-110)
- Total: 47.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
- Location: Gillette Stadium — Foxboro, MA
- Start Time: 1 p.m. EST
- Coverage: CBS
Overview
The Raiders are on a short week, having just beaten the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. While the team moved from Oakland to Las Vegas, the Raiders operate the same as they did last season. Offensively, everything is set up through the run, powered by Josh Jacobs. The second-year back has carried the ball 52 times through two weeks, and this type of workload isn’t changing any time soon. While his 181 rushing yards look good, his 3.5 yards per carry does not.
Defensively, the Raiders continue to struggle in the secondary. They have allowed 7.9 yards per attempt, which is tied for the ninth-most in the league. The only good news for their poor pass defense is that they play the Patriots this week, who are clearly powered by the running game.
The Patriots would like to play as they did in Week 1 when they attempted just 19 passes. They showed last week that they can pass if they need to, with Cam Newton completing 30-of-44 passes for 397 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, but they would much rather lean on their creativity in the running game. Of course, Newton also leads this charge, running for 122 yards and four touchdowns on 26 attempts.
Defensively, the Patriots got exposed by the Seattle Seahawks last week. The secondary could not hold up, allowing Russell Wilson to complete 75 percent of his passes for 288 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception (which wasn’t his fault). Belichick typically game plans to take away the opposing team’s biggest strength, which seems to be Jacobs for the Raiders. This means the Patriots secondary will need to step up and stop Derek Carr if they have any chance to win.
Trends
- Las Vegas is 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last three games,
- The total has hit the under is five of Las Vegas’ last six road games.
- New England is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
- New England is 15-6 straight up in its last 21 games.
Prop Bet
All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.
First Half Total
Under 24 (-130) — Both teams want to run the football, while both teams want to stop the run. The clock should keep ticking, and we could see a lot of the punters in kickers to start the game. I don’t think we see three touchdowns in the first half, which is what would be needed for this over to have a chance at hitting.
Bottom Line
Simply, think this Vegas team has more talent than New England. While the Patriots will almost certainly win this game, history tells us that it could be tough for them to cover the spread. With a rest disadvantage since Jon Gruden re-joined the Raiders, his team has covered the spread in 57.1 percent of games. Over the same time period, the Patriots have covered the spread just 33.3 percent of the time, when they have a rest advantage.
Pick: Las Vegas Raiders +5.5
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Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFlurry.