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Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys NFL Sports Betting Guide

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This matchup features two teams headed in very different directions this season. The Dallas Cowboys are 2-0 and look built for a Super Bowl run so far. The Miami Dolphins look like the may not even be able to spell Super Bowl. I do not need to hear the talking heads debate a single thing about the Dolphins for the rest of the season. They are the worst NFL team to ever step foot on a field. They are outmatched at nearly every single position by their opponents and none of their players want to be there. Now, they get their first road game of the season in Dallas.

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Dolphins vs Cowboys Odds and Info

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Opening Lines: DAL -21, O/U 47.5
  • Moneyline: MIA (+1320) | DAL (-2500)
  • Spread: MIA +21.5 (-110) | DAL -21.5 (-110)
  • Total: 47.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
  • Location: AT&T Stadium — Dallas, TX
  • Start Time: 1 pm ET
  • Coverage: FOX

Injuries

  • Miami Dolphins: LB Trent Harris (Q), WR Albert Wilson (Q), S Reshad Jones (Q), CB Ken Webster (Q), S Bobby McCain (Q)
  • Dallas Cowboys: S Xavier Woods (Out), WR Michael Gallup (Out), WR Tavon Austin (Q), DT Antwaun Woods (Q), DE Tyrone Crawford (Q)

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Overview

David versus Goliath. That may be what is being said to motivate Miami in their locker room, but that biblical matchup was more evenly matched than this one. Miami has given up 102 points through two games. They have given up nearly 200 rushing yards per game (195.5), and that was with Lamar Jackson running for just six yards. Opponents have completed nearly 80 percent of their passes. They can’t run the football, protect the football, or get any kind of pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

Dallas is a complete football team. Dak Prescott has played like a man trying to earn a pay day, which he is, passing for 674 yards and seven touchdowns to just one interception. Ezekiel Elliott is back and playing well, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. While Dallas has played two bad defenses, this is a good football team, and these three easy wins to start the season are a big confidence boost. Yes, I am making the bold prediction in the overview that they win this game.

Trends

  • Miami is 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
  • The total has hit the over in four of Miami’s last six games.
  • Dallas is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
  • The total has hit the over in the last five games for Dallas.
  • The all-time series between these teams is tied, 7-7.
  • Last Meeting: November 22, 2015 — The Cowboys defeated the Dolphins, 24-14, at Sun Life Stadium.

Prop Bet

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

1st Quarter Spread: Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-132)
Dallas typically gets out to fast starts at home. Last season, they averaged eight first-quarter points per game. They scored seven in their home opener this year. Miami has given up 28 first-quarter points. Pro Football Focus gives the Cowboys offensive line a 25 percent advantage in the running game. They will dominate from the opening kickoff. The reason this spread hits early will be Dak, who has been looking to attack deep this season. He has completed 6-of-8 passes over 20 yards and all nine of his passes between 10-20 yards. The Dolphins have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 5-of-7 passes over 20 yards and 12-of-14 between 10 and 20 yards. Now, they don’t have Minkah Fitzpatrick and will be even worse Sunday. Look for Dallas to come out hot and never look back.

Bottom Line

I simply do not see a scenario where the Cowboys do not put up at least mid-30s for points. They have averaged 33 points, and the Dolphins have been outscored by an average of 46 points. This spread opened high in order to scare people into taking Miami but don’t fall for it. The worst team got worse and now they hit the road in one of the toughest venues to win. Do not overthink this pick.

Pick: Dallas Cowboys -21.5

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Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFlurry.