Navigate

MLB To Hit a Home Run Player Prop Picks & Predictions: Saturday (4/1)

by |

Is there anything better than watching your favorite player blast a 420 ft moon shot into the stands? I didn’t think so, plus chicks dig the long ball.

Below I give you some players that have a good shot at showing off and going deep.

We start off with two players from the Atlanta Braves.

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Saturday:

Check out MLB Home Run Odds for all players in today’s games >>

Saturday’s Best Home Run Prop Bets

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Ronald Acuna (+320) & Matt Olson (+215)

The Atlanta Braves started the 2023 season with a 7-2 win over their division foe Washington Nationals. Both Acuna and Olson jump-started their offense, going a combined 4-for-11.

Today, they go up against Nats’ starter Josiah Gray. Gray finished the 2022 season 7-10 with a 5.02 ERA. Despite struggling the majority of the year, he pitched well against the Braves last season. 

In two starts, he went 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA with HR allowed over 11 innings pitched. That single HR belonged to Matt Olson. Olson went 1 for 3 against Gray 2022, and with the lone hit being that HR we just mentioned.

Ronald Acuna also only has three plate appearances against Gray, going 0-3.

Despite the lack of historical data, both Acuna and Olsen project well today, as Josiah Gray had the worst HR/9 (2.30) in the MLB in 2022 among starters with at least 100 innings pitched.

Mookie Betts (+300)

Mookie Betts went deep in last night’s game, and we think he goes deep on back-to-back nights.

Mookie has had success against Arizona starter Madison Bumgarner. Over the course of his career, Betts is 5-for-15 (.333) with two home runs and only one strikeout. He also owned the 11th-highest ISO against left-handed pitchers last season. 

Betts also posted a higher average, OBP, and Slug% against lefties compared to righties in 2022. Look out for another big night from the Dodgers superstar.

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners â€” or head to more advanced strategies — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread â€” to learn more.

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>


Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts