MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Saturday (7/19)
The All-Star Game has come and gone, and now we turn to trade deadline questions as the playoffs will be here in a blink of an eye. In the meantime, let’s keep betting on some home run odds! Saturday's slate features plenty of games as we continue a solid season, hitting some metaphorical and literal longshots. Let’s dive into the top MLB home run picks and predictions for this weekend's matchups.
Betting on specific players to hit a home run is an exciting way to bet on baseball and the wins are some of the biggest. The plus-money odds can provide larger payouts that make for some great betting. As a friendly reminder, shop around for the best odds because HR odds differ widely across books. Here are some of my favorite players to get a home run in today's games.
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Saturday's Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
Last Time: 1-2 | Season: 8-33 (+10.8U) | Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Jose Ramirez (+325)
We're starting with a chalky player who is lined up for the best shot at going yard today: Jose Ramirez. The switch-hitter has hit 18 home runs this year and 14 of them have come off righties. Ramirez is hot right now with five homers in his last 11 games and a 1.223 OPS. Now is the time to buy in for the third baseman. Additionally, Ramirez has the best history against Luis Severino, going 5-for-13 lifetime against the Athletics starter with three homers. I'm honestly surprised that the odds are this long given the history and how Ramirez has played recently. Maybe with the All-Star Game resetting the gameplay, it's not as dependable to look at his last 11 games but the head-to-head history is too good to pass up on. I'm taking Ramirez's Overs across the board here.
Josh Bell (+600)
Next up we're double-dipping in the switch-hitter category with Josh Bell going deep for the Nationals. Yu Darvish takes the bump for San Diego, scheduled for just his third start of the season. He's done a solid job at limiting the long ball but his control is in question and he's allowed six earned runs across his 8.1 IP already this year. The Nationals are going to attack with a plethora of lefties including Bell when he faces Darvish. The Washington designated hitter is 5-for-13 lifetime against the Padres starter, with a home run to go with it. Darvish doesn't have as effective stuff as he had during his prime and even in the past, Bell has seen him well. If the Nats get to him early then Bell will get additional at-bats against the Padres bullpen that sent out four pitchers last night. At +600 odds, I'm confident in this bet.
Danny Jansen (+500)
Finally today, we have Danny Jansen going against his divisional rival. He hasn't exactly been spectacular this year but he's turned it around recently with an .881 OPS in his last 15 games compared to a .704 OPS on the season. The Rays catcher has solid history against Kremer, homering twice off the Baltimore starter in seven career at-bats. Kremer's splits are also not as hot in this situation, with a 5.83 ERA on the road this year, allowing nine of his 14 home runs in such situations. It's the first game back for Kremer after the break so while he shakes off the rust, Jansen gets to take advantage of his improved hitting at home, and against righties, and go yard in today's game.