MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Saturday (9/27)
Welcome to another day of baseball as we've reached the doorstep of the MLB Playoffs. We've recently gone negative on the year but I am happy with my process. Just last week the three players I picked combined for nine total hits. So remember you can always bet total bases and/or hits instead of home runs. Still, Saturday's slate features plenty of games to hit some long shots both in bets on on the field. Let’s dive into the top MLB home run picks and predictions for this weekend's matchups.
Betting on specific players to hit a home run is an exciting way to bet on baseball and the wins are some of the biggest. The plus-money odds can provide larger payouts that make for some great betting. As a friendly reminder, shop around for the best odds because HR odds differ widely across books. Here are some of my favorite players to get a home run in today's games.
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Saturday's Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
Last Time: 0-3 | Season: 9-49 (-2.1U) | All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Ian Happ (+271)
Let's start in the friendly confines as the Cubs try to lock up home field for the Wild Card round. A win today or Padres loss would seal the deal so I imagine there will be a little extra push for the Cubbies so they can take Sunday off. Either way, the splits line up well for Happ to have a day. Regardless of matchup, the Cubs switch-hitter has been hitting well of late with a .926 OPS in the month of September. He's better from the left-handed box and gets to face the righty Michael McGreevy, who he's 3-for-5 against in his career. The weather is supposed to be perfect in Chicago and the wind can pick up at any time by the lake. It's looking like runs will be scored today and I'm riding Happ leading the charge.
Brandon Marsh (+650)
There are a lot of Philly options today as they battle Milwaukee for the number one overall seed but I'm riding the best odds among the options. Brandon Marsh has been on an absolute tear of late, slashing .349/.414/.635 across September. He rocks righties, with nine of his 11 long balls coming against righties. Mick Abel gets the nod for the Twins who has struggled against the left-handed hitters, allowing a .939 OPS against compared to a .793 vs. righties. So sure, you could go with Kyle Schwarber or Bryce Harper but I'm shocked at the odds Brandon Marsh sits at and I'm sure you could find +700 and above.
George Springer (+364)
Finally tonight we have to go with a Blue Jays player as they fight to win the AL East division title. It's been quite the September for Toronto but Springer has stayed hot, batting .339 with nine homers in his last 30 games. He's much better off righties and much better at home so everything is lining up for him to have a game today. Joe Boyle takes the mound for Tampa and he has struggled on the road with an 8.15 ERA in 17.2 IP away from home this year, allowing five of his six homers in that process. Boyle also hasn't been great of late, allowing righties to have a .959 OPS off him in his last seven games and a 1.148 OPS in his last five road starts. Pick your poison for Toronto but with the number of at-bats Springer will get, I'm loving his odds.