MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Thursday (4/3)
It’s slim pickings for sports bettors on Thursday with five MLB games on the schedule. However, there’s still value to be had from a home run prop bet perspective, as dependable sluggers and beneficial showdowns are lined up for action.
Here’s a look at three players worth backing to crush a ball beyond the fence on April 3rd.
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Thursday's Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Bryce Harper (+440)
It’s only a matter of time before Bryce Harper returns to smashing baseballs left and right at Citizens Bank Park. The two-time MVP has recorded an impressive .296/.409/.583 slash line with 103 home runs across 421 career games at the Philadelphia stadium. It was just last year Harper ranked fourth among all batters with a 1.003 OPS in home contests. Thursday presents a golden opportunity to put on a show for the fans.
Colorado is sending Antonio Senzatela to the mound. The veteran right-hander has made six starts over the past three seasons, posting an uninspiring 4.81 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 24.1 innings. Harper has launched two moonshots in 12 at-bats against Senzatela and can add to that number with one big swing. It doesn’t hurt that he also clashes with a Rockies bullpen that allowed the most homers in the National League in 2024 (80).
Yordan Alvarez (+300)
Let’s shift from one revered power bat to another. Yordan Alvarez has tallied 136 home runs since the beginning of 2021. That is tied for the sixth-highest mark in the sport. The Houston bruiser gets a chance to increase that total on the road versus the Twins. Over 200 homers have been hit in each of the previous two campaigns at eight MLB stadiums, and Target Field is one of those venues. Hitters thrive in Minneapolis.
Minnesota starting pitcher Joe Ryan has his work cut out for him. Alvarez has torched Ryan before with a trio of dingers and seven RBI in 13 plate appearances. Not only that, but Ryan has logged a disastrous 7.66 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in five outings facing the Astros overall. Having runners on base when Alvarez steps to the plate would not give Ryan the option to pitch around him. Talk about a massive advantage.
Austin Wells (+430)
It doesn’t matter if it’s due to new torpedo bats, a favorable home park or a simple roster-wide hot streak. The Yankees rank atop the leaderboard with 19 home runs and a .978 team OPS. There’s a case to be made for betting on anyone in that lineup against the Diamondbacks on Thursday. I’ll opt for an underrated choice in catcher Austin Wells. Wells has racked up two first-inning homers through five games played.
What should excite bettors about Wells is the fact his career fly-ball percentage (30.7%) and pull percentage (30.7%) check in above the MLB average. That is a recipe for success with New York’s famous short porch in right field. The third-year pro is praised for his plate discipline, too, and is 2-for-5 with a blast versus Arizona starter Merrill Kelly. Shoot for a solid payout by trusting Wells to go yard.