MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Tuesday (5/27)
All 30 MLB teams are back in action on Tuesday night following a thrilling 12-game Memorial Day slate on Monday. From a sports betting perspective, I'm heading to the prop sheet to try and cash a few longshot home run props. Below you'll find three players who I believe are primed to touch’em all. Here are my top three MLB home run prop bets for Tuesday, May 27th.
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Tuesday’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Bryce Harper (+300)
We have a marquee series getting underway in the City of Brotherly Love, as the Phillies (34-19) gear up to host the Braves (25-27). Spencer Strider gets the nod for Atlanta, while Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA.
Strider has made just four starts since the beginning of 2024, and he hasn't been sharp over the 18.1-inning sample size (6.38 ERA). As for the 2025 campaign, where the right-hander has made two starts (9.1 innings), he's logged a 5.79 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and an elevated 1.93 HR/9 rate. He's tasked with trying to slow down a Phillies side that has launched the 11th-most home runs (58) this season.
Eight of those 58 tanks belong to Bryce Harper, who has recorded three this month. He's slashing .308/.375/.484 in May, so this is a spot where I'll play him to hit a bomb (+300) and go over 1.5 total bases (+115). Harper has hit Strider well in the past, going 6-for-20 (.300) against him with two home runs. Considering Strider's ugly form and the fact the wind will be blowing out to centerfield at around 5.5 miles per hour (MPH), I think it's worth a flier on Harper to touch’em all tonight.
Adolis Garcia (+320)
The Blue Jays (26-27) took care of the Rangers (26-29) last night in a 2-1 series-opening contest. They'll turn to Bowden Francis to try and make it two straight victories. The Rangers opt for Nathan Eovaldi in this American League tilt, which gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET from Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX.
I'm locking in Adolis Garcia to leave the yard tonight. The slugger hasn't been too productive this season with a .215 batting average, but his seven home runs are tied for the second-most on the Rangers (Wyatt Langford leads with 10). Garcia blasted a home run against the White Sox over the weekend, and he's now 3-for-11 (.273) in his last three games with a pair of extra-base hits.
Garcia is 1-for-4 (.250) against Francis, with the one hit being a home run. The Jays hurler hasn't been very serviceable this season, bringing in a 5.54 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Francis’ HR/9 rate and HR/FB percentage are 2.68 and 21.4%, respectively. Of today's listed starting pitchers, those are the third- and fourth-highest marks. I'll back the Rangers’ RBI leader (27) to go deep tonight in Arlington.
Eugenio Suarez (+290)
The MLB night wraps up in The Valley of the Sun, where the Diamondbacks (27-27) will look to build on their 5-0 victory over the Pirates (19-36) on Monday night. Mike Burrows will toe the rubber for the Buccos, while the Snakes send Corbin Burnes to the bump. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET from Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ.
Eugenio Suarez has sneakily been racking up dingers this season. The third baseman has five home runs in his last 16 games, including blasting a solo shot against the Pirates in last night's victory. This brings him to 15 tanks on the year, which is the fifth-most in the Majors. He's now riding a five-game hitting streak, increasing his average to .232 on the year.
Suarez draws a matchup against Burrows, who has only two career MLB outings (8.1 innings). Over the 8.1 innings, the right-hander has allowed three home runs, which equates to a 3.24 HR/9 rate. His 3.60 HR/9 rate is the second-highest among today's starting pitchers, while his HR/FB percentage of 33.3% is the highest. While it's a small sample size, it's still pretty wild to think that one-third of his fly balls end up in the outfield bleachers. Give me the red-hot Suarez to touch’em all.