MLB Picks & Predictions: Dodgers vs. Brewers (Monday)
The Los Angeles Dodgers look to even the NLCS against the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 2 on Monday, October 12, with first pitch scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. Yoshinobu Yamamoto faces Logan Henderson as Milwaukee aims to build on its 1-0 series lead. With the Dodgers listed as -137 moneyline favorites and the total set at 6.5 runs, our Dodgers vs. Brewers best bets and predictions break down the pitching matchup, betting odds and top wagering opportunities for tonight's MLB playoff game.
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Monday’s Best MLB Picks & Predictions: Dodgers vs. Brewers
Monday’s Major League Baseball playoff action begins at 5:00 p.m. ET. The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 2 of the National League Championship Series (NLCS) first, and the Tampa Bay Rays will host the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of the American League Championship Series (ALCS) in the night contest, starting at 8:00 p.m. ET. Check out our top MLB picks & predictions below for Dodgers vs. Brewers .
Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) at Brewers (+112) | O/U 7.0 (EVEN/-118)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto is toeing the slab for the Dodgers, and Logan Henderson is getting the ball for the Brewers. Game 1 of the NLCS was a pitcher’s duel, with the Brewers edging out the Dodgers 2-1.
It could be another impressive showing from the pitchers tonight. According to FanGraphs, Yamamoto posted the following stats in 28 regular-season starts:
- 2.53 ERA
- 2.94 xERA
- 3.28 xFIP
- 3.40 SIERA
- 0.87 WHIP
- 5.9% walk rate
- 25.7% strikeout rate
- 12.3% SwStr%
- 28.8% CSW%
- 102 stuff+
- 107 location+
- 110 pitching+
The 28-year-old righty thrived on the road. In 12 road starts spanning 81.1 innings, he had a 1.77 ERA, 3.34 xFIP, 0.82 WHIP, 5.9% walk rate and 24.8% strikeout rate. Yamamoto allowed three runs or fewer in all of his road starts, and allowed one or fewer in eight of them.
Yamamoto also allowed only one run on four hits, one walk and 10 strikeouts in seven innings in his only postseason start this season. Los Angeles also has a decent bullpen behind him, with a 3.74 ERA in the regular season and a 2.45 ERA in the playoffs.
Henderson isn’t a slouch on the other side. He’s not an innings eater, but he whipped up the following marks in 18 regular-season starts totaling 98.1 innings:
- 2.47 ERA
- 2.73 xERA
- 3.30 xFIP
- 3.14 SIERA
- 0.84 WHIP
- 5.1% walk rate
- 29.6% strikeout rate
- 12.4% SwStr%
- 27.5% CSW%
- 102 stuff+
- 108 location+
- 107 pitching+
Henderson was a bit shaky in his only playoff start, allowing two runs, two hits and three walks, while also hitting a batter. He tallied four strikeouts in five innings.
Fortunately, Henderson is getting the ball at home, where he was lights out in the regular season. In eight home starts spanning 44 innings, Henderson had a 1.84 ERA, 3.26 xFIP, 0.77 WHIP, 4.9% walk rate and 30.9% strikeout rate.
Moreover, while Los Angeles’ bullpen is good, Milwaukee’s is sensational. They had a 3.40 ERA in the regular season and have a 0.47 ERA in the playoffs.
The pitchers should put on a show and keep the game under seven runs today.
Pick: Under 7.0 Runs (-118)
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.