Top 5 MLB Player Prop Bets Odds, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (9/22)
Here are five of our favorite MLB player prop bets for Thursday’s slate!
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Shane Bieber: o/u 5.5 Strikeouts
Bieber and the Guardians take on the White Sox in a pivotal series regarding the A.L. Central Division. Cleveland has a six-game lead over the White Sox and looks to finish off the 3-game sweep, reduce their Magic Number to 5 games, and come even closer to clinching a playoff spot.
With momentum on their side and Ace on the hill, I look for Bieber to have one of his better outings of the year. Bieber is 2-2 against Chicago this season and has only allowed more than one earned once in one of those starts. Regarding his K-props in those four starts, he has topped this number twice at Progressive Field.
The Pick: o5.5 Strikeouts (-145 DraftKings)
Hunter Greene: o/u 16.5 Outs
Hunter Greene has gone over this number in three straight starts. Before that, he only managed to hit this number once over his previous seven starts.
Tonight, he is going up against the Milwaukee Brewers. As a team, they are batting .296, with an OBS 1.173 and an SLG% of .796 against Greene. In his three starts against the Brewers this season, he has failed to top 16.5 outs.
The Pick: u16.5 Outs (-105 DraftKings)
Jose Berrios: o/u 4.5 Strikeouts
Berrios has struck out four or fewer batters in four straight games and only has a K rate of 12.1% in those last four starts.
Berrios has faced this Tampa Bay Rays lineup twice this season, failing to strike out more than four batters in both outings.
The Picks: u4.5 Strikeouts (-145 DraftKings)
George Kirby: To Record a Win
George Kirby is 7-4 with a 2.98 ERA for the Seattle Mariners this season. Seattle is a heavy favorite, -226 on the moneyline, but Kirby is +120 to record the win.
In three starts against the Athletics, Kirby is 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA.
The Pick: Yes (+120 DraftKings)
Austin Riley: To Hit a Home Run
Austin Riley is one of the best against left-handed pitchers. In 2022, Riley slashes .336/.423/.709 with an ISO of .373 and a wOBA of .472 against lefties.
Ranger Suarez is also a pitcher who struggles against right-handed batters. Righties are slashing .298/.372/.466 with a .365 wOBA against Suarez in his home starts this season.
The Pick: Yes (+360 DraftKings)
Go premium to view today's 5 Star prop bets >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.