MLB Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks for Sunday July 17 (2022)

Today marks the unofficial end to the first half of the season as we head into the all-star break. We’ll cap it off with the rubber match in the best rivalry in sports, then two more games where some potential playoff teams would love to end the first half with a series win.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

• Leg 1: Yankees ML (-196)
• Leg 2: Over 8 (-104)
• Leg 3: DJ LeMahieu over 2+ total bases (+105)
• Leg 4: Rafael Devers over 2+ total bases (+110)

This will be an excellent rubber match pinning two of the top pitchers in the league in the biggest rivalry in the game.

Chris Sale pitched well in his first start of the season as he went five shutout innings against the Rays. He did well locating his fastball, his slider was moving well, and he kept the changeup down. Overall he looked good after missing so much time.

Gerrit Cole has looked excellent throughout the season, even better if you don’t count his starts against the Red Sox. In two starts this season against Boston, he’s struggled by allowing eight earned in nine innings. Maybe the start from the one-game playoff last year is still in his head, but thankfully the Yankees have given him plenty of run support in those games, and the team is 2-0 in those starts.

The Yankees have been the Bronx Bombers this weekend as they put 20 runs in the first two games. Even with two of the best on the mound, it’s been safe to side with the over in these matchups.

Parlay Odds: +1000 via FanDuel

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

• Leg 1: Blue Jays -1.5 (-172)
• Leg 2: Under 9.5 (-112)
• Leg 3: Jose Berrios under 5.5 strikeouts (-112)

The Blue Jays have a week filled with turmoil and would love to go into the all-star break with a 3-1 series win against the Royals.

Jose Berrios signed a big contract with the Blue Jays this past offseason, and it’s been tough for the most part. He’s been getting most of the season and has a career worse in xERA, xSLG, xBA, and barrel percentage, as he’s in the fifth percentile or lower in each. The positive regression could be on the way as July has been his best month so far, as he’s 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts.

Like Berrios, Kris Bubic has pitched better as the season has progressed, His ERA continues to drop every month, but he still has a long way to go. The control issues are still there with 5.6 walks per nine, but he’s also keeping his pitches elevated, and that’s why his hit percentage is at 48.5%, and barrel percentage is at 8.5

Vegas is looking at these pitchers’ surface numbers and have gone too high with 9.5 runs. Trust the Jays at home, but go under the total.

Parlay Odds: +624 via FanDuel

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

• Leg 1: Phillies -1.5 (-172)
• Leg 2: Aaron Nola over 6.5 strikeouts (-126)
• Leg 3: Trevor Rogers under 5.5 strikeouts (-106)
• Leg 4: Rhys Hoskins over 2+ total bases (+125)

Philadelphia hit a rough patch losing four straight recently but has the chance to end the unofficial first half of the season on a positive note with a sweep of the Marlins.

Aaron Nola has been the foundation of this Phillies rotation for years and brings excellent consistency. He’s one of the top strikeout pitchers in the game, and his 127 this season is seventh in the league. We may see him put up some good strikeouts numbers as he usually does - the Marlins have the 11th-most strikeouts in July, and Nola has a lifetime 22.1% strikeout rate against this roster.

Trevor Rogers s starting to improve in his last few starts as he comes in with a 3.60 ERA in his previous three starts. He’s been having control issues all season as he’s allowed eight walks in his last 15 innings and has a career-high 4.5 walks per nine this year. While he’s been better recently, he’s had two really rough starts against the Phillies this year, allowing a total of 11 earned in 5.1 innings with ten walks.

I’m trusting the Phillies lineup, who has great numbers against Rogers in multiple starts to have a great game and get the sweep.

Parlay Odds: +1019 via FanDuel

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