MLB Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks for Sunday July 3 (2022)
Let’s finish the weekend with some exciting matchups. We have to feature the Sunday night game as it features an incredible pitching matchup and two offenses that have been hot as of late.
Then we’ll look to take two more first-place teams trying to complete their series sweeps with some confidence they can do so.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies turned it around in June, going 19-8, and are now in the hunt for a playoff spot as we near the all-star break. They would love to continue on the right path with a series win on Sunday night against a possible October opponent.
Zack Wheeler is having another fantastic season with a 2.89 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine. While his fastball has lost a little zip to it, averaging two MPH less than last year, he’s put more movement on the ball, which keeps that pitch effective. He’s also gained more confidence in his slider by going from throwing it on 15.9 of his pitches in 2020 to 30% this season.
On the other side is Adam Wainright, as the 40-year-old continues to look ageless. The guy still throws an excellent curveball as his average break of 22.5 inches leads the league, and the -7 run value is second. He’s going to force this Philly lineup to hit over the top to hit ground balls, and it’s effective when gold gloves surround your infield.
All of a sudden, the Cardinals’ offensive power is clicking. Four straights home ran yesterday and six in this series, but their .428 slugging since June 1 is the eight-highest. Wheeler gave up some bombs at home against a power-hitting Atlanta lineup, and he could let a couple more go in the bandbox of Citizen’s Bank.
Parlay Odds: +831 via DraftKings
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians
The Yankees lineup was on display yesterday as they put up 19 runs on 21 hits and 6-for-10 with runners in scoring position.
Jordan Montgomery will take the mound, and he’s having the best season of his career with a current-low 3.27 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. The significant change has come as he’s been relying more on his sinker, and the movement on the pitch has drastically changed from an 11% break vs. avg in 2021 to 24% this season. He’s also improved his curveball and changeup, getting hitters to chase at over 40% and using them as his put-away pitches. Monty should have a good day with Cleveland being one of the worse teams against lefties as they’re 27th with a .222 average and last with a .326 slugging.
Triston McKenzie will go for the Guardians and would love to turn it around in July. He had a few rough starts last month and finished with a 1-2 record and 6.44 ERA. He’s got some great stuff, and when he can effectively locate his pitches, he’s good, but he’s lost that over the last few starts as he’s been throwing a lot of his stuff in the zone for the hitters to attack.
A hard-throwing pitcher against a power-hitting lineup is a receipt for disaster, and the Yanks should have another big day on offense. This should be a runaway thanks to Cleveland struggling against lefties.
Parlay Odds: +524 via DraftKings
Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros
- Leg 1: Astros -1.5 (-111)
- Leg 2: Framber Valdez over 6.6 strikeouts (-110)
- Leg 3: Jose Altuve to record 2+ total bases (-110)
- Leg 4: Jose Suarez over 3.5 strikeouts
Jose Suarez will get the start as he’s bounced up and down from LA to triple-a a few times this year, but when given a chance recently, he’s done well. Over his last four appearances, he has a 2.25 ERA and averages over nine strikeouts per nine. He already has an appearance against the Astros and gave up two earned in 4.1 innings. While he can strikeout batters, he can also walk them with a 4.6 rate per nine, Houston had four walks in his last appearance, and they’re still one of the more well-disinclined teams at the plate.
On the other side, Framber Valdez is having a great season and has some of the best off-speed pitches in the league. He has an absolute fall-off-the-table curveball as his 20.4 average break is fourth in the league and has a 36.3% whiff rate. The Angels are an all-or-nothing team with the third-highest whiff rate (27.3%), so we’ll be seeing Valdez get the LA lineup swinging through many of these breaking balls.
Valdez already has a start against the Halos and 6.2 shutout innings and struck out six. The Angels have the second-highest strikeout rate (27.8%) since June 25, so don’t expect much offense from them on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +1197 via DraftKings
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