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MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (5/3)

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We have a full schedule of Major League Baseball on tap for Friday, and that means a lot of opportunities for MLB same game parlays. Most teams had the day off on Thursday, so players should be relatively fresh heading into the weekend. There are plenty of opportunities for us to find some Same Game Parlays to play, so let's get right to it. 

Below are three of my favorite MLB same game parlays for Friday, May 3’s action. Remember that FanDuel Sportsbook offers all customers a 30% boost on any qualifying SGP (+400 or above).

Friday's Best MLB Same Game Parlays

Here are our top MLB Same Game Parlay picks for Friday’s games.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Washington Nationals

Sunday may be Cinco de Mayo, but Friday is Patrick Corbin Day. I plan on celebrating this holiday by watching everyone's favorite Canadian MLB team descend on our nation's capital and hit the tar out of the baseball against Corbin. 

Corbin enters this game with a 6.82 ERA and 6.60 expected ERA. His counterpart, Yusei Kikuchi, had a 2.94 ERA and 2.97 xERA. This is a game I like the Blue Jays to win. Washington does have a slightly better bullpen to this point, so I prefer the moneyline to the run line. If you can get an F5 (first five innings) line, that would be even better in my opinion. 

Toronto could stack the entire lineup with right-handed hitters. At most, I see no more than two lefties in the lineup. Corbin has some interesting splits thus far that play into both the hits and strikeouts legs of this SGP. 

Corbin has been much more apt to allow hits when facing right-handed hitters this season. Only 18.7% of plate appearances by righties have resulted in a walk (4.7%) or a strikeout (14.0%). By contrast, 36.6% of plate appearances by left-handed batters have resulted in a strikeout or base on balls. 

Corbin's .381 opposing BABIP to right-handed hitters should result in plenty of base hits. The Blue Jays also enter play on Friday with the seventh-lowest strikeout rate in the Majors (18.7%) versus lefties. They also have tremendous lifetime numbers against Corbin. 

Blue Jays hitters have gone 31-for-77 with just 12 strikeouts in their meetings with Corbin. All of these factors lead to me liking Corbin for allowing over 5.5 hits and recording under 3.5 strikeouts. 

I expect some of the damage to come from Justin Turner. The grizzled veteran is 16-for-42 with six extra-base hits lifetime against Corbin and has tattooed lefties to start the year. Turner is 9-for-18 with six extra-base hits versus lefties so far in 2024. 

Parlay Odds: +430 via Caesars Sportsbook

Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins         

Boston begins a three-game series in Minnesota on Friday with Tanner Houck on the mound against Chris Paddack. Paddack enters action with a 5.88 ERA and 5.52 xERA. His only quality start came against the Chicago White Sox. Boston will be a much tougher challenge for Paddack.

The Red Sox rank in the top-seven in baseball as a team in many offensive categories, including OPS, wOBA and wRC+ when facing right-handed pitching. I expect Wilyer Abreu to lead the charge offensively. 

Abreu has demolished right-handed pitching this season, especially of late. In his last nine games in which a righty has started, the rookie phenom has 15 hits, with eight of them going for extra bases. Abreu also profiles extremely well against Paddack's array of pitches. 

Paddack throws a four-seam fastball, changeup, slider and curveball. None of them have produced good results. Paddack has allowed a batting average of .313 or higher on all four pitches. Abreu has slugged .583 or better against all four offerings. His expected stats are a bit behind, but he still has an xSLG of well over .500 versus both changeups and sliders. Abreu should get the best of Paddack in this matchup. 

I am taking Houck to record at least six strikeouts on Friday night. Houck has had seven or more strikeouts in four of six starts so far this year. What I find interesting to note is that the two misses came when he faced an opponent in consecutive starts. He has been flat-out dominant each time he has faced a team for the first time this season.

In four such starts, Houck has allowed just one run in 27.2 innings, while striking out 35 hitters. Minnesota strikes out at the sixth-highest rate in MLB when facing a right-handed pitcher. Twins hitters have also fanned on 12 of 42 career plate appearances versus Houck. Even if some regression sets in, I believe he can at least get six strikeouts and lead Boston to a victory. 

Parlay Odds: +462 via FanDuel Sportsbook (+601 after 30% boost)

Chicago White Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals

My final SGP for Friday brings us to St. Louis, Mo., where the Chicago White Sox will face Sonny Gray and the Cardinals. Chicago shocked most observers by sweeping the Tampa Bay Rays last weekend and then being swept at home by the Minnesota Twins. 

The White Sox are 1-13 on the road this season. Ten of the 13 losses have come by two or more runs. I expect more of the same on Friday, primarily because this is a huge mismatch in the starting pitching department between Brad Keller and Sonny Gray. Give me the Cardinals to win this game by multiple runs. 

In 47 MLB innings since the beginning of last season, Keller has 32 strikeouts and 47 walks. By comparison, Gray has 32 strikeouts and four walks so far this season. 

Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in all four of his starts this season. His strikeout line is 5.5, which I do not mind taking. However, the White Sox have been a bit more difficult to fan of late, posting a 19% strikeout rate over the past week. Because of that, I will play it safe by shaving a strikeout off Gray's total and taking him to strike out at least five hitters on Friday. 

For my final two legs, I am playing a pair of hit props. I like Nolan Arenado to register at least one hit in this game. He has done so in 25 of his last 29 games. Though Keller is prone to walks, I worry less about that with Arenado than with some of the other Cardinals hitters. Arenado has a relatively low 7.6%-walk rate in four seasons in St. Louis. 

If Keller gets the better of Arenado, we still have the White Sox bullpen to fall back on. Chicago's pen has allowed the third-most hits in the Majors and has the seventh-highest ERA. 

Paul DeJong plays his first game in St. Louis on Friday since being traded last July after seven seasons with the club. While I'm usually all for a revenge game narrative, this hardly feels like a spot to expect it. 

Since 2021, DeJong is hitting just .194. Because he is such a weak hitter, the White Sox have pinch-hit for DeJong twice in his last three starts. There is a very real possibility DeJong only gets two or three plate appearances on Friday. His history against Gray has not been good. DeJong is just 2-for-16 lifetime when facing the Cardinals' ace. I am playing the Under on DeJong's 0.5-hits line. 

Parlay Odds: +423 via Caesars Sportsbook

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

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