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MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (5/31)

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We have fourteen games to pick from today with only the Cardinals and Royals not scheduled to play today. With the rest of the league on the docket, we have a ton of games and teams to choose from. Let’s dive into the slate and find our favorite bets.

Wednesday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago Cubs

The Rays have scored a combined one run across their first two games of the series against the Cubs and despite their overall “struggles” on the road they still have the best wRC+ among road teams in the game. They also have the league’s best wRC+ against lefties at 166. While Justin Steele has been fantastic most of this season he was hit hard in his last start. This all matches up extremely well for the Rays’ offense and they should have a bounce-back offensive day. On the other side, Zach Eflin throws again and he has been a revelation for the Rays. The walk numbers are excellent and while he has a bit of a HR issue, the pairing with low walks has been able to help him keep the run totals low and the Cubs’ offense off the board.

Paredes has been fantastic in 2023, and while his career numbers lean in favor of him versus lefties he’s been better against right-handers in 2023. However, he still has been excellent with a 123 wRC+ against lefties. His power isn’t as impressive as it has been in the past, but he is hitting for a high average and this should all line up well for his ability to reach the two TB number.

Parlay Odds: +500

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers

This one certainly doesn’t feel amazing but on paper, I like this bet a lot. In the last two weeks, the Nationals’ offense is ninth by wRC+ at 109. They are facing Noah Syndergaard who has struggled mightily in 2023. The strikeouts have remained well below his career peaks and while he is not allowing many walks, his HR numbers are elevated. However, unlike Eflin, his lack of walks and high HR numbers have not been able to keep his ERA down. The Nationals’ offense should be able to score easily against Syndergaard. The tougher side of this game is Patrick Corbin’s ability to limit the Dodgers’ offense. The lefty has been better in the last few starts but he still has an ERA over four. I think Corbin can do just enough to let the Nationals’ offense beat up on Syndergaard and take the victory.

Abrams hasn’t necessarily been a great hitter in 2023 with only an 84 wRC+ but he has shown some growth in the power department. The young lefty has a 0.156 ISO which is a big improvement on the 0.077 one he posted in 2022. With his speed and high likelihood he puts multiple balls in play, I like his chances of having a big offensive day.

Parlay Odds: +575

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

Overall, the Phillies’ offense has been a disappointment in 2023, with a 97 WRC+ at the team level mostly due to the relative struggles of Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber among several others in their lineup. However, today they get to face Carlos Carrasco and the Mets’ right-hander has struggled in his limited 2023. He has faired much better in his two appearances since coming off the IL but he is still walking too many and allowing the long ball more than we would like to see. The Phillies have several hitters with the upside and power to take advantage of Carrasco’s struggles. Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies and while the strikeouts are down, the rest of the profile looks similar to his career norms. I believe that the strikeouts will return as the drop has been driven more by a drop in swinging strike rate as opposed to his ability to generate called strikes. This has the makings of a bounce-back game for Nola.

Schwarber is having a down season, but the overall skillset does not appear to be much different than in previous seasons. The only difference is that it appears Schwarber is walking more often than in previous seasons but there does not appear to be a reason behind the rise. He is still one of the league’s most dangerous power hitters and he should be able to get to Carrasco in this one.

Parlay Odds: +150

Also make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

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