MLB Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks: Saturday (5/10)
We have a few interesting MLB matchups today. Let’s examine them and make a few same-game parlay (SGP) betting cards with our top MLB picks and predictions.
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Saturday's Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks
- Leg 1: Diamondbacks Moneyline (+100)
- Leg 2: Dustin May Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-120)
- Leg 3: Over 9.5 Runs (-102)
After a great start to the season, Dustin May has had a few rough starts, posting a 7.88 ERA and allowing hitters to bat .392 in his last three outings. The problem is he's been having trouble keeping his pitches down, and we're seeing the sweeper and sinker stay higher in the zone. This has allowed opposing hitters to get more barrels and a higher line drive rate, but also harder hit ground balls.
This could prove to be tough against the Diamondbacks, who are a great contact-hitting team. They're seventh in hard-hit rate (42.6%) and 10th in barrel rate (9.3%). May's 46.9% hard-hit rate could indicate a tough day for him.
Parlay Odds: +602
Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals
- Leg 1: Red Sox Moneyline (-102)
- Leg 2: Garrett Crochett 7+ Strikeouts (-105)
- Leg 3: Royals Under 3.5 Runs (-130)
Garrett Crochet has been a great pickup for the Red Sox as he's eighth in ERA (2.02) and sixth in strikeouts (56). His cutter is one of the best in the league, and opponents are only hitting .172 against it, but it makes his fastball even more dangerous. With that being his anchor pitch, we’re seeing a high rate of swings and misses. The biggest problem is walks, as he's allowed multiple walks in five out of seven starts. His walk rate is in the 66th percentile.
Luckily, he's facing an undisciplined team in the Royals, who are 28th in walk rate this season (7.3%). Crochet could have a great outing if he keeps the free bases to a minimum.
Parlay Odds: +584
Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers
- Leg 1: Rangers Moneyline (-102)
- Leg 2: Jacob deGrom Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115)
- Leg 3: Rangers Over 3.5 Runs (-120)
As long as Jacob deGrom is healthy, he is among the best pitchers in the league. He's having an incredible 2025 and has been even better recently with a 1.54 ERA and .193 opponents’ batting average in his last four starts.
When you dig deeper, his dominance shows, as he's above the 80th percentile in several categories, including expected ERA (87th), whiff rate (83rd) and hard-hit percentage (85th). He still has one of the toughest sliders in the league, with opposing hitters batting .164, and the +7 run value off the pitch is the highest.
Tigers have a great pitching staff, but they might need to improve on offense if they want to compete. It's only a small sample size, but deGrom has a 55% strikeout rate against this Detroit lineup, and they rank 18th in strikeout rate this season (22.8%).
Parlay Odds: +579
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday: