MLB Same Game Parlays & Picks: Friday (4/24)
The MLB season is in full swing. After an entertaining first month of games, let's turn our attention to Friday's slate. We have all 30 teams in action with plenty of options for picks and props. It's time to dive into the matchups and dish out a pair of MLB same game parlays (SGPs) that feature player props and juicy plus-money odds. Note that all odds and betting lines are accurate as of this writing, but subject to change. Good luck.
Friday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
- Leg 1: Marlins ML (-112)
- Leg 2: Giants Team Total Under 3.5 (-115)
- Leg 3: Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+118)
- Leg 4: Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-147)
The San Francisco Giants are coming off an impressive week, going 5-2 over their last seven games. Even so, we're fading them tonight with the Miami Marlins in town. The visitors have a clear pitching edge and some favorable offensive splits.
Sandy Alcantara gets the start for Miami. The right-hander owns a 3.06 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over his first five starts. Besides an outlier blow-up against Detroit, though, Alcantara boasts a 1.53 ERA over his four other outings so far. It's an encouraging sign for a guy who struggled last year in his return from Tommy John. In terms of hits allowed, he’s been under 5.5 in four of five starts.
Let's count on Alcantara showing up against San Fran on the road. The Giants have one of the worst offenses vs. right-handed pitching this season, with a .272 wOBA and 70 wRC+ in the split (both last in MLB). They've also struggled to hit at home, with a .254 wOBA and 61 wRC+ (both last). The Giants have scored three runs or fewer in nine of their last 11 games as well.
On the other side, Adrian Houser starts for San Francisco. The righty has a shaky 5.40 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over four starts this year. He's also given up 4+ runs in three straight outings. Those struggles could continue against Miami, which actually has an upper-tier offense against right-handers. In the split, the Marlins have a .336 wOBA (6th in MLB) and 109 wRC+ (8th) this season.
One of those Miami hitters who can do damage is shortstop Xavier Edwards. He's batting .330 with an .869 OPS this season. The switch-hitter has also been tough on right-handers, with a .329 average and .896 OPS in the split. Houser, meanwhile, has allowed a .352 average and 1.028 OPS to left-handed hitters. Edwards has over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI in 16 of 25 games so far (64%).
Parlay Odds: +430
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- Leg 1: Over 8.5 Total Runs (-141)
- Leg 2: Michael Harris Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-141)
- Leg 3: Dominic Smith 1+ Hits+Runs+RBI (-230)
- Leg 4: Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-130)
Friday night brings us an NL East showdown between the Braves and Phillies. Let's bank on a higher-scoring game as the division rivals face off. The starting pitching matchup of Andrew Painter vs. Grant Holmes should lead to runs scored on both sides.
Painter has had an up-and-down rookie season. The Phillies' right-hander owns a 4.42 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over his first four starts. He looked good in two of those outings, but also struggled in the other two. Painter has only made one start on the road thus far, and he gave up four runs on nine hits with just one strikeout. He also just faced the Braves last time out and allowed three runs in only 4.0 innings pitched.
Taking on Atlanta for the second time in as many starts will be a tall task, especially on the road. The Braves boast an elite offense against right-handed pitching this season. In the split thus far, they have a .355 wOBA and 123 wRC+ (both 2nd in MLB). Over the past two weeks, the lineup has a league-best .378 wOBA and 138 wRC+ vs. righties.
Michael Harris and Dominic Smith are among those Braves' hitters who can do damage today. Harris is on fire lately, batting .447 with a 1.383 OPS over his last 11 games. In this stretch, he's racked up 35 combined hits, runs, and RBI while going over 1.5 in eight of his last 10 games started. The left-handed hitting Harris is crushing righty pitchers to the tune of a .354 average and .998 OPS.
Smith can also come through with at least one hit, run scored, or RBI today. Atlanta's designated hitter is now batting .362 with a .991 OPS this season. He's especially hit right-handers well, too. In the split, the lefty-swinging Smith boasts a .396 average and a 1.081 OPS. He's also gone over 1.5 total hits, runs, and RBI in 12 of 16 games started so far.
Meanwhile, the Phillies can get to Holmes as well. The Atlanta righty has a 3.42 ERA over five starts, but his 4.28 FIP and 4.37 xFIP suggest negative regression. His 19.6% strikeout rate (31st MLB percentile) and 10.3% walk rate (41st) are also underwhelming. Granted, the Philadelphia offense has been struggling, but at least the lineup woke up for seven runs yesterday.
Let's bank on Bryce Harper leading the way for the Phillies. He's been a lone bright spot in the lineup lately with a .298 batting average and .952 OPS over the past 13 games. In this stretch, the first baseman has 28 combined hits, runs, and RBI, while going over 1.5 in eight of the last 13 contests. Plus, despite a very limited sample size, Harper is 1-for-1 with three walks in his career against Holmes.
Parlay Odds: +400