MLB Same Game Parlays & Picks: Friday (6/19)
The MLB season is in full swing as we head deeper into June. The All-Star break and trade deadline will be here before you know it. Let's turn our attention to Friday's slate with all 30 teams in action. There are plenty of options for MLB picks and props. It's time to dive into the matchups and dish out a pair of MLB same game parlays (SGPs) that feature player props and juicy plus-money odds.
Note that all odds and betting lines are accurate as of this writing, but subject to change. Enjoy these SGPs for Friday, June 19th.
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Friday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
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St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals
- Leg 1: Michael McGreevy Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-118)
- Leg 2: Michael McGreevy Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-136)
- Leg 3: Alec Burleson 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (-206)
- Leg 4: Jordan Walker 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (-171)
Let's lead off our same-game parlays with the Royals hosting the Cardinals on Friday night. Fading St. Louis starter Michael McGreevy could be profitable in this matchup. Plus, a couple of Cardinals player props present value to round out the parlay.
McGreevy owns an impressive 2.99 ERA this season. However, he's a prime negative regression candidate with a glaring 5.61 xERA and 4.35 FIP. The right-hander's .292 xBA ranks in the bottom 4% of the league, while his 9.6% barrel rate allowed (25th percentile) is worrisome as well.
The Cardinals starter also has a poor 16.5% strike rate (14th percentile) and a 19.3% whiff rate (10th percentile). McGreevy's advanced stats could spell trouble against the Royals.
Over the past two weeks against righties, Kansas City’s lineup has a .348 wOBA (10th-best in MLB) and 17.8% strikeout rate (second-lowest). It's a tough spot for McGreevy, who's allowed five or more hits in six straight starts coming into this outing.
Meanwhile, a pair of St. Louis hitters can have good nights at the plate on the other side of the matchup. Seth Lugo will get the start for Kansas City. The veteran right-hander has been shaky lately with a 7.51 ERA and 6.81 FIP over his last nine starts. That includes a 10.23 ERA and 8.41 FIP over his last five outings.
Alec Burleson is crushing right-handed pitching this season, with a .328 batting average and .995 OPS in the split. He's also swinging a hot bat lately, with over 1.5 combined hits + runs + RBIs in 15 of the last 17 games. Burleson is batting .310 with a .989 OPS in this stretch as well.
As for Jordan Walker, he's hitting .288 with an .855 OPS vs. righties. The outfielder has had a few hitless games recently, but he still owns a .310 average and .862 OPS over the last 13 contests.
Parlay Odds: +485
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers
- Leg 1: First Five 5 Innings Under 3.5 Runs (-105)
- Leg 2: Jacob deGrom Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-138)
- Leg 3: Jacob deGrom Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-107)
- Leg 4: Randy Vasquez 4 or Fewer Hits Allowed (+128)
- Leg 5: Randy Vasquez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-148)
Let's now turn our attention to an Interleague matchup between the Padres and Rangers. We're counting on a pitcher's duel in this one as Randy Vasquez and Jacob deGrom start for San Diego and Texas, respectively.
The Rangers ace owns a 3.17 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over 14 starts this season. His 29.2% strikeout rate (90th percentile) and 4.9% walk rate (95th percentile) are in elite territory as well. He has allowed two runs or fewer in 10 of his last 13 outings.
After some shaky starts in May, deGrom has righted the ship lately. He boasts a 1.57 ERA and 2.01 FIP over his last four outings. He now faces a Padres offense with a league-worst .292 wOBA and .217 batting average against righties this season. San Diego is also hitting just .212 versus righties over the past two weeks. It sets up well for deGrom, who has a 1.26 ERA at home thus far.
Meanwhile, Vasquez can also have a good outing. The Padres hurler has a decent 3.63 ERA this season. The advanced metrics are admittedly concerning, but the righty has also been effective more often than not. He's allowed two runs or fewer in eight out of 14 starts. He also brings in a 2.08 ERA on the road this year.
More notably, the matchup against Texas is favorable. The Rangers have just a .293 wOBA and a .223 batting average at home this year, which rank 29th and 28th, respectively. Plus, over the past two weeks, they have a .265 wOBA and 66 wRC+ against right-handers, which are the second-worst marks in baseball.
Parlay Odds: +400