MLB Same Game Parlays & Picks: Thursday (5/29)
Dive into our top MLB same-game parlay (SGP) betting card with our favorite MLB picks and predictions for Thursday, May 29th.
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Thursday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Leg 1: Phillies Moneyline (-112)
- Leg 2: Under 7.5 Runs (-122)
- Leg 3: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-128)
- Leg 4: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Leg 1: Phillies Moneyline (-112)
Philadelphia's momentum and home dominance make their Moneyline enticing. The Phillies are 35-19 and have won 10 of their last 11 games, including a 2-0 shutout of Atlanta on Tuesday. They boast an 18-8 home record, while Atlanta is just 9-19 on the road.
Zack Wheeler has been virtually untouchable (6-1, 2.42 ERA) and gives Philly a big edge on the mound. Backing the home team here aligns with recent form - the Braves have lost five of their last six games outright, and with Wheeler dealing, the Phillies should grind out a win.
Leg 2: Under 7.5 Runs (-122)
Aces on the hill and recent trends point to a low-scoring duel. Four of the Phillies' last five games have gone under the total, and we have two top arms starting. Wheeler (2.42 ERA) and Chris Sale (3.36 ERA) are coming off gem outings: Wheeler threw 6.2 shutout innings with eight strikeouts in his last start, and Sale allowed one earned run over seven innings in his last outing.
Atlanta's offense has cooled, averaging a .238 team batting average in the previous 10 games (going 6-4), and they were blanked 2-0 just two nights ago. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's pitching (3.65 team ERA) has been stout. With Wheeler and Sale both in strong form and bullpens on alert in a doubleheader, runs should be at a premium.
Leg 3: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-128)
Wheeler's strikeout prowess meets a whiff-prone Braves lineup. The Phillies ace has 88 strikeouts in 70.2 innings this season (an elite 9.7 K/9) and ranks in the 99th percentile for expected ERA, a testament to his dominance. He's coming off an eight-strikeout performance and has a 0.88 WHIP (fourth-best in MLB), attacking hitters with upper-90s heat and sharp breaking balls.
The Braves have struggled to make contact against top-tier pitching: they struck out eight times against lefty Ranger Suárez on Tuesday, and key Atlanta bats have notable strikeout tendencies. Austin Riley, for example, sports a 30.5% strikeout rate versus righties, and Matt Olson whiffs 24.5% of the time (vs. righties). Wheeler has historically handled Atlanta's lineup (even Ronald Acuña Jr. has just a .315 wOBA in 47 at-bats vs. Wheeler). In a game where he'll be leaned on to go deep, expect Wheeler to rack up at least seven strikeouts with his swing-and-miss stuff.
Leg 4: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Trea Turner's bat is the catalyst against left-handed pitching. The Phillies shortstop has been red-hot, batting .305 on the season and hammering lefties, slashing .358 with three home runs in 71 plate appearances against left-handed pitchers this season.
Turner's quick bat and all-field approach match up well with Sale's arsenal. Philadelphia as a team is slashing .274/.342/.439 against left-handed pitching, so Turner should have opportunities to drive the ball. Sale has been solid but not unhittable, allowing a .329 wOBA to hitters so far.
Parlay Odds: +880
Feeling great about my biggest SGP yet so far this year. Keeping it simple. See you all next week.
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