M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 at Pocono NASCAR: Driver Matchup Winner Odds & Pick (2022)
Let’s check out the top odds and picks for Sunday’s M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400 at Pocono Raceway.
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Odds to Win the M&M’s Fan Appreciation 400
Best Picks for the M&M's Fan Appreciation 400
Pocono Raceway is without a true comparator track. The most similar course, the Indianapolis Motor Speedway oval, is no longer on the Cup Series schedule. Pocono is unique as a flat-banked, 2.5-mile track. Its triangular shape only makes it stand out that much more.
In short, Pocono is weird. That makes it harder for books and bettors to read. As a result, I plan to lean on past Pocono and Indy performances. I'm also giving considerable weight to four comparator tracks: two circuits with long straightaways, Auto Club and Circuit of the Americans, along with two circuits with flat-banked corners, Gateway and New Hampshire, to make my picks this weekend.
Matchup: Byron (-105 (1.05u) at DraftKings) vs. Chastain
We'll target Byron on a matchup market as well. DraftKings Sportsbook has him pitted against Ross Chastain, who might be the least popular driver in the garage right now. Chastain owns an impressive average finish of 11.2 along with two wins, a series-high 10 top fives, and 14 top 10s. But it'll be increasingly difficult for him to get good results against a field so antagonistic toward him due to his aggressive driving style.
Chastain finished 26th and 33rd here with Chip Ganassi Racing last season. His then-teammate, Kurt Busch, finished sixth and 20th in comparable equipment. Byron beat him in both events, too.
This line should probably have both drivers set to -110. But the books favor Chastain, and I believe that creates some value for us to exploit. Let's wager enough to profit a full unit.
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