Monday Night Football Best Bets (Broncos vs. Seahawks)

If you’re a fan of a juicy revenge narrative, the first Monday Night Football match-up of the season is just your speed. Monday Night Football returns tonight in storybook fashion as Russell Wilson makes his first start for the Denver Broncos, returning to Seattle – where he spent the first 10 years of his career.

Here are our favorite bets and leans for this Week 1 matchup on Monday night.

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NFL Week 1 Monday Night Football Best Bet

Broncos vs. Seahawks UNDER 44 (-110 at DraftKings)

In games started by Geno Smith last year, the Seahawks averaged 20.3 PPG (if you take away a matchup against the dysfunctional Jaguars, that average drops to 15 PPG). Pete Carroll and the Seahawks offense will want to pound the rock and play ball control on Monday night to keep the ball out of Russell Wilson’s hands in his return to Seattle, so I predict that this game will have a very slow game script. Additionally, Denver’s new coach Nathaniel Hackett comes over from Green Bay, whose offense ranked dead last in the NFL in pace of play last year and featured prominent roles for dual RBs. Combining this information with the fact that Denver posted the league’s second-best scoring defense in 2021 should lead this game to go under the point total of 44.

Week 1 Spread Leans for Monday Night Football

Home Team Away Team Home Spread Fitzmaurice Freedman LaMarca Greer Wolbransky Santora MacMillan Home Leans Away Leans
SEA DEN 6.5 SEA SEA SEA SEA DEN SEA SEA 6 1

 

Week 1 Total Leans for Monday Night Football

Home Team Away Team Over/Under Fitzmaurice Freedman LaMarca Wolbransky Santora MacMillan Over Lean Under Lean
SEA DEN 44.5 Under Under Under Under Under Under 0 6

Be sure to follow the updated consensus NFL lines for Week 1 to monitor how these lines move ahead of kickoff.


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