NBA Picks & Predictions: Monday (11/9)
We have eight NBA games scheduled this evening, so several betting options are available. Here are my two best NBA picks for Monday, November 9th.
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Monday’s Best NBA Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets
The Nuggets (5-3) are one of the NBA’s best teams, led by Nikola Jokic, who is having another terrific season, averaging 22.9 points, 10.1 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game. Denver is tied for ninth in offensive rating and is coming off two double-digit wins over the Raptors and Pacers.
The Rockets (7-3) are also playing well. They’ve been balanced on both ends of the floor, ranking third in offensive rating and ninth in defensive rating. However, Houston is coming off two consecutive losses against the Suns and Timberwolves.
When looking at this game, I expected the Rockets to be favored, but not by 8.5 points. This line speaks volumes. The market is projecting a Rockets blowout. Why? Well, both Jokic (elbow) and Jamal Murray (leg) are questionable for this game.
Oddsmakers are expecting both Jokic and Murray to miss this one, which is why the line is so high. Without these two stars, the Nuggets are unlikely to keep it close against the Rockets.
Pick: Rockets -8.5 (-114)
Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks
The Pacers (3-7) have had a disappointing start to the season. They’ve lost seven of their first 10 games, and Tyrese Haliburton remains sidelined with a hamstring injury. After beating the Grizzlies on the road on November 4th, they’re coming off a 12-point home loss to the Nuggets.
The Mavericks (6-4) keep rolling, with Cooper Flagg looking like a budding superstar. Flagg scored 25 points and dished out 12 assists in the Mavericks’ blowout win over the Nets last night.
Given these two teams’ opposite trajectories, you would think the Mavericks would be favored by more than 3.5 points. That’s why this line jumps out at me. The market is projecting a letdown from the Mavericks, likely because it’s the second leg of a back-to-back. They also seem to value Indiana more than their record suggests.
With that in mind, we’re going to read the line here and ride with the Pacers +3.5.
Pick: Pacers +3.5 (-115)