NBA Play-In Tournament Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks: Friday (4/18)

Friday’s Best NBA Same Game Parlays

We kick things off in Atlanta, where the Hawks look to bounce back after an atrocious performance in their first NBA Play-In Tournament game against the Magic on Tuesday. The Heat looked razor-sharp in their dismantling of the Chicago Bulls, so the Hawks appear to be in a tough spot despite the home-court advantage.

The Hawks and Heat have met four times this season, with each team recording two wins. Miami has won the previous two contests by an average of 15.5 points. Atlanta is 5-5 over its previous 10 games and ranks 20th in defensive rating on the season when playing at home.

Miami has won six out of the last 10 contests against Atlanta. They have recorded two wins in their last four matchups when playing on the road against the Hawks.

Atlanta and Miami seem to be on two different paths heading into this win-or-go-home contest. The Heat are primed and ready for battle. Whereas the Hawks completely crumbled after coming back from a massive deficit against Orlando. Give us the road team in this contest to win by more than one point.

Miami is averaging 112.3 points on the season against Atlanta, combining for 255 points over their last two matchups. Atlanta is allowing 118.9 points to the opposition over the last 10 games. Opponents are shooting 48.7% from the field over that span. The Hawks have conceded 110+ points in eight of their previous 10 games.

Tyler Herro looked masterful against the Bulls in their first NBA Play-In Tournament game on Wednesday. The Miami guard knocked down three baskets from beyond the arc, after failing to do so in the previous three contests. That statistic may be a bit misleading, though, considering Herro only played 20 minutes against the Pelicans and made two out of four attempts against Philadelphia.

The veteran guard is averaging 5.9 three-point attempts over the last 10 games, and has made at least six attempts in eight of those 10 contests. Herro is shooting an extremely efficient 47.5% from deep over that span. If the attempts fall anywhere from 6-8, we are confident Herro will exceed 2.5 three-pointers tonight.

What we are not so bullish on is the total number of points for Zaccharie Risacher in this contest. The rookie forward is averaging a respectable 14.2 points over the last five games. However, that average is largely inflated by a 38-point performance against the Nets. If you exclude that contest, Risacher is averaging 8.2 points in the other four games.

Risacher shot 20% from the field on 10 attempts against Orlando on Tuesday. When playing the Heat this season, he is averaging 6.8 points in four contests, while shooting 35% from the field.

Memphis has won four out of the last five contests against Dallas, including a 132-97 victory on this past Sunday to close out the season. The Grizzlies have won the last three contests against the Mavericks, and the previous two games when playing at home. Memphis played exceptionally against the Warriors on Tuesday, yet fell just short in the final few minutes.  We feel this Dallas team is not nearly as formidable as Golden State, giving the Grizzlies a fantastic opportunity to make the playoffs.

The Mavericks and Grizzlies are averaging a combined 229.6 points over their last five contests. Meaning oddsmakers are expecting more of a defensive battle in this contest. These two teams have cleared 221 points in nine out of their last 10 games combined. The last contest Memphis was involved in that did not exceed 221 points was six games ago.

The 113.5 total for Memphis once again simply appears to be too low in what should be a matchup featuring a solid tempo between two teams that are highly capable of scoring in bunches. Memphis is averaging 118 points over its last 10 contests, while shooting 47.4 % as a team.

The Grizzlies have surpassed 113.5 points in four out of the previous five games. Memphis has cleared 113.5 in six straight games against Dallas. The Grizzlies are averaging 120.3 points over that span, with a 47.3% team field-goal rate.

We close out the last leg of this parlay with a straightforward selection. Over his last 20 games, Ja Morant is averaging 27.3 points, scoring at least 20 points in 19 of those games.

Morant has scored a minimum of 20 points in 18 consecutive contests. Against the Mavericks, Morant has eclipsed this point threshold in the previous four games. The Memphis guard is averaging 23.1 points over his last 10 contests against the Mavericks, including 31 points in back-to-back matchups this season.