NBA Player Prop Bets, Odds & Picks: Tuesday (3/4)
How will Zach Collins perform in his eighth game with the Chicago Bulls? Will LeBron James make more than two three-pointers against the New Orleans Pelicans? How will Chris Paul play when he faces the Brooklyn Nets for the second time this season?
Here are the three best NBA player props for Tuesday, March 4th.
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Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
This Season: 40-53 (-7.60 units) | Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Zach Collins 18+ Points + Assists (-110)
Zach Collins has played seven games with the Bulls, and he's made his presence known in his last four contests. He's scored at least 15 points in each of those games while combining for 15 assists and 40 rebounds. While he's been great in his last few games, Collins' start in Chicago wasn't great. In his first three games, he scored in single digits and he recorded just four assists and 16 rebounds.
What's been the cause of Collins' sudden improvement? Playing time. In his first three games with the Bulls, he played fewer than 20 minutes. However, he's played at least 28 minutes in each of his last four games. If that keeps up, Collins will continue to make a huge impact. Don’t be worried that Collins is only averaging 5.9 points and 1.7 assists per game this season. Most of that production came from when he was with the San Antonio Spurs, and that simply wasn't a good fit.
LeBron James Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (-114)
Not only are the Pelicans one of the worst teams in the NBA, but they're also one of the worst at defending the three-point line. They're allowing 14.7 made shots per game from beyond the arc. They've given up an average of 19 over their last three contests. With this in mind, it's easy to look at LeBron James, see the 24.8 points per game he's averaging this season, and blindly bet the over. However, the under is the right play.
For as good as James has been, he's only averaging 2.1 made threes per game. Additionally, he was just 1-of-6 against the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday. He's now made fewer than three three-pointers in four of his last five games. While he averaged 3.2 makes per game in February, it seems he's cooled off after a hot start to the month. This is a solid matchup, but James hasn't been able to get it done from deep in recent games. In what should be a blowout, look for him to see fewer minutes, as he knocks down fewer than 2.5 threes for the fifth time in six games.
Chris Paul 8+ Assists (+115)
Chris Paul has only faced the Nets once this season, and he managed just five assists in that game. Considering the Nets are middle-of-the-pack when it comes to assists allowed per game, this matchup doesn't present an expectation that Paul will have a much better game tonight. However, Paul's numbers do suggest he should outperform his first game against the Nets, which makes it worth taking this prop at this price.
Paul is averaging 7.9 assists per game. He's dished out at least eight assists in two of his last four games. He has recorded at least six in four of his last five. Paul has a high floor when it comes to assists, so to get him right at his season average for greater than +100 provides great value. After all, while this matchup isn't particularly favorable for Paul, it's not bad either.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.