NBA Player Prop Bets, Picks & Predictions: Friday (2/28)

by Ryan Coleman |
Feb 28, 2025

Welcome to another day of basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with the All-Star break behind us. If you're just joining us for the first time, welcome. It's been a great year, and I hope we continue that trend as we look to the playoffs.

We have a 10-game slate tonight as we enter the weekend, so we have plenty of options for player props. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.

Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.

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Friday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets

Last Time: 3-0 | Season: 109-82

Cade Cunningham Over 42.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115 at BetMGM)

Something is in the water in Detroit and I'm buying it. The Pistons are on an eight-game winning streak and have the third-best offense, best defense and seventh-fastest-pace of play in the league during that span.

Cade Cunningham has been a driving force of that success. He's scored over 20 points in seven of the eight games, consistently averaging nearly 30 a night. His minutes are consistently around 35 and his usage rate has continued to steadily creep up.

Denver is on the second leg of a back-to-back with an equally high pace of play and middling defense. There's a reason this total is at 238, and I am trying to get every piece of it. This is a surprising momentum play, but I'm buying into it, especially at home. If Cunningham can put up consistent numbers against Boston then I trust his ability to turn around and do the same against Denver.

Donovan Mitchell Under 37.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

In a big game pitting the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in the Eastern Conference, expect Boston to step up and shut down the star Cleveland guard. The Celtics have sat in the top five defensively all season while playing at a bottom-five rate in the country. Pure opportunity alone here is going to be limited.

If you look over the last 30 games, Boston has allowed the third-fewest combined points + assists + rebounds to opposing shooting guards. Now that Darius Garland is expected back at full go, Donovan Mitchell will take a bit of a step back. He should regress a bit back to his season usage average and play around 28 minutes, which I simply do not see as enough time to get over his combo prop tonight.

Trae Young Under 35.5 Points + Assists (-110 at BetMGM)

Another star guard I expect to struggle tonight is Trae Young. Oklahoma City has the best defense in the NBA this season and that's factoring in the injuries they've faced. The Thunder are 12.5-point favorites tonight. I expect them to handle business across the board.

No team has allowed fewer points scored to opposing point guards this season or in the last 15 games than Oklahoma City. Trae Young's assists are down since returning from the All-Star break and even if he positively regresses tonight, he will struggle to get over this prop without much scoring, as he has failed to score 20 points in consecutive games.

Atlanta's offense has taken a hit recently, ranking 21st in the league in recent play. Despite the high total in a high-paced game, I don't expect much efficiency. I’m riding Oklahoma City to shut Atlanta down.

Additional Bets to Consider

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.

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