NBA Player Props Bet Picks & Predictions: Friday (4/4)
Welcome to another day of basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with teams jockeying for playoff position or better draft status with only a handful of games remaining. If you're just joining us for the first time, welcome. It's been a great year, and I hope we continue that trend as we look to the playoffs. We have a 10-game slate tonight so we should have a solid handful of props available. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.
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Friday's Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 2-1 | Season: 136-95
Jarrett Allen Over 26.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-115 at bet365)
Evan Mobley may be healthy and in the lineup but that doesn't mean Allen is any worse when it comes to playing time, seeing the court for 32-plus minutes in his last two games. He's averaged 17 points, eight boards, and almost two assists over his last seven games, and taking that average and putting it up against the San Antonio Spurs is an easy path to the over. Last time out against the Spurs he went for 29 points and while that would be quite difficult to replicate tonight they have allowed the sixth-highest PAR to opposing centers all year. Since the All-Star break, San Antonio's defense ranks third worst while still ranking as a pace-up spot for Cleveland. I'm finding all the overs to bet for the Cavs in this matchup and Jarrett Allen tops the list.
Deni Avdija Over 28.5 Pts + Ast (-110 at FanDuel)
Another group of overs I'm targeting is for the Portland Trail Blazers. This is inflated compared to Avdija's season averages but he's covered this line in four of his last five games and 60 percent of his last 15 contests. The Bulls are the single fastest-paced team in the league over their last 20 games with the 24th-worst defense on the season. They've clinched the play-in spot while Portland is fighting for their playoff lives coming off consecutive wins against Atlanta and Toronto. Avdija's usage has jumped over to over 27 percent in his last seven games and I expect that to continue tonight. He's averaged 26 points a night in that same time frame and I don't think it's ridiculous to see him putting up 24 points and six assists which feels almost like a conservative outlook against the Bulls.
Pascal Siakam Under 31.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-104 at FanDuel)
This is where I'll zag on what is an ideal spot for an Over bet against the Utah Jazz who might be the friendliest team in the league against PAR. First of all, Siakam will likely be questionable to play for this game with his right olecranon bursitis injury. It's hard to claim that will expressly limit him but he hasn't covered this line in five straight games so despite the high total it's tough to say he'll start today. And while the Jazz have struggled defensively, allowing the second-most points to opponents, they have done better in the frontcourt with opposing power forwards ranking 18th in points scored against Utah this season. It feels a bit risky taking Unders against Utah in this day and age but I'm comfortable with it being the right play.
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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.